Europa Conference League · resolved market

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a32a8c4eab70b71b8c21a1ec1f20802b3767c78fbf7422383c30d1af137557c

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Apr 9, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $87,763
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $89,074

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,763 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	58c	26,862$15,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,329.97	3,726	47%1,750 W · 1,976 L	+20.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over	50c	17,300$8,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,574.98	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over	37c	9,751$3,608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,607.72	75	54.7%41 W · 34 L	+8.3wins	+0.11per pick	44cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under	50c	8,797$4,426 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,370.69	2,999	42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L	+7.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Over	44c	6,965$3,065 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,064.56	16	43.8%7 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.04per pick	39cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…1608backed Over	43c	5,762$2,478 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,477.6	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	50c	5,569$2,779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,779	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+3.2wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over	49c	2,484$1,217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,216.74	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd29…77aebacked Under	52c	2,201$1,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,056.29	32	50%16 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over	52c	1,982$1,031 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,030.81	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.7wins	-0.19per pick	53cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc333…05a5backed Over	50c	1,850$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$925	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under	58c	1,768$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$741.34	145	52.4%76 W · 69 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under	58c	1,739$1,013 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$726.14	114	43.9%50 W · 64 L	-8.4wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Under	55c	1,617$885 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$731.64	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc72d…fc21backed Under	50c	1,580$797 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$783.48	5	80%4 W · 1 L	+1.6wins	+0.32per pick	48cpaid	+60.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under	57c	1,089$621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$468.04	52	65.4%34 W · 18 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over	51c	1,052$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.75	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-5.8wins	-0.11per pick	56cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under	57c	1,049$598 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$450.56	82	54.9%45 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	56c	989.05$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$439.6	771	41.8%322 W · 449 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Under	52c	983.67$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$473	146	54.1%79 W · 67 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under	48c	968.8$465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.75	26	50%13 W · 13 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	49c	915.61$448 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.3	380	47.4%180 W · 200 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under	53c	914.17$486 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$427.7	109	56%61 W · 48 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	58cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Under	49c	781.83$380 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.19	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over	49c	749.98$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.49	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	50c	740$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370	78	29.5%23 W · 55 L	-11.2wins	-0.14per pick	44cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Under	49c	704.23$343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$361.02	57	40.4%23 W · 34 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over	61c	640.39$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.64	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.9wins	+0.23per pick	48cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed Over	48c	500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-11.8wins	-0.27per pick	47cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under	57c	500$285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215	42	50%21 W · 21 L	-2.8wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8ed…8bb4backed Under	51c	419.01$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$206.86	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over	49c	399.99$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.99	18	55.6%10 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed Over	38c	380.05$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144.42	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bef…3afdbacked Over	49c	299.88$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.82	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84a…6b1fbacked Over	48c	297.99$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.26	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.7wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Under	54c	243.1$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$111.83	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+26.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over	8c	236.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd04b…3ce0backed Over	43c	226.11$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.23	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	61c	218.39$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86	129	34.9%45 W · 84 L	-20.4wins	-0.16per pick	51cpaid	-42%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Under	58c	209.23$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.88	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-4.4wins	-0.15per pick	60cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Under	57c	202.82$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.73	35	42.9%15 W · 20 L	-3.6wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under	50c	200$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	83	31.3%26 W · 57 L	-9.2wins	-0.11per pick	42cpaid	-30%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x5dd1…d33cbacked Under	50c	197.44$99 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.72	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Under	58c	194.96$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.88	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under	51c	190.87$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.71	90	56.7%51 W · 39 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under	54c	190.38$104 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.87	695	48.9%340 W · 355 L	+19.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over	47c	180$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.6	195	46.2%90 W · 105 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under	54c	178.84$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.55	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	57cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe65…0546backed Under	53c	178.18$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.73	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa69c…890ebacked Over	50c	158.89$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.44	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	47cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over	60c	157.79$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.67	639	57.1%365 W · 274 L	+35.0wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over	48c	157.5$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.6	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over	39c	150.77$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.14	155	62.6%97 W · 58 L	+22.9wins	+0.15per pick	48cpaid	+35.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over	50c	141.04$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.52	71	43.7%31 W · 40 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over	47c	139.32$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.48	741	55.9%414 W · 327 L	+19.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4411…20bfbacked Under	51c	133.22$68 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.28	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	-2.4wins	-0.20per pick	62cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Over	49c	126.21$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.31	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	50c	124.93$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.85	706	39.5%279 W · 427 L	-16.9wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed Under	20c	119$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$95.2	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	43cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over	48c	113.78$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.05	880	48.2%424 W · 456 L	+17.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over	41c	110.76$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.88	178	55.6%99 W · 79 L	+14.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa64e…5d27backed Over	80c	107.17$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.52	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	66cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over	37c	100.91$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.34	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed Under	57c	100.55$58 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.02	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	0%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb95…a5ccbacked Over	42c	99.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.99	48	54.2%26 W · 22 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Under	52c	99.49$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.73	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.14per pick	56cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	44c	99.11$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.49	109	41.3%45 W · 64 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	34c	99.04$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.45	335	22.4%75 W · 260 L	-43.5wins	-0.13per pick	35cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under	51c	95.16$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.63	83	49.4%41 W · 42 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Under	52c	93.48$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.92	96	38.5%37 W · 59 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdf4…40fabacked Over	43c	89.84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.63	52	55.8%29 W · 23 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Under	58c	84.03$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.29	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over	48c	80.56$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.67	1,316	50.8%668 W · 648 L	+33.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	50c	80$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	240	49.2%118 W · 122 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over	44c	78$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.32	62	19.4%12 W · 50 L	-6.5wins	-0.10per pick	30cpaid	-57.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under	53c	75.92$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.39	2,175	37.6%817 W · 1,358 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Over	66c	72.73$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	103	44.7%46 W · 57 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over	48c	70$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	39	48.7%19 W · 20 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x120d…5a76backed Under	51c	68.51$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.57	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Under	58c	67.23$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.24	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under	54c	65.32$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.99	662	50.6%335 W · 327 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over	42c	57.45$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.13	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+5.5wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+28.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	54c	56.41$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	78	48.7%38 W · 40 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Over	43c	56.15$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.15	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-3.1wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under	56c	56.15$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.8	76	56.6%43 W · 33 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Over	42c	49.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	20	50%10 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	61c	49.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.27	94	43.6%41 W · 53 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bfe…0741backed Under	50c	48.89$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.44	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-4.2wins	-0.30per pick	51cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over	43c	48.29$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.76	92	55.4%51 W · 41 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15bb…2033backed Under	49c	46.03$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.28	21	61.9%13 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over	43c	44.89$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.32	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+3.1wins	+0.18per pick	47cpaid	+41.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Under	58c	42.02$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.65	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Under	58c	42.02$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.65	55	49.1%27 W · 28 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1956…1ef8backed Over	47c	41.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.26per pick	48cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc338…974ebacked Over	47c	41.2$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.36	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9368…8b01backed Over	34c	40.27$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.3wins	-0.42per pick	42cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	50c	39.88$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.09	1,573	55.7%876 W · 697 L	+25.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Over	50c	38.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	87	50.6%44 W · 43 L	-6.8wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd4ad…7687backed Over	50c	38.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Over	50c	38.8$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+2.1wins	+0.06per pick	46cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5this page
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 1.5Over won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5Under won
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won
Spread: 1. FSV Mainz 05 (-2.5)RC Strasbourg Alsace won
Spread: RC Strasbourg Alsace (-1.5)1. FSV Mainz 05 won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event