Movies · resolved market
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08eaac4f1e1af7ad843dd027b81edfba3ef08ca7a82637c58ce9ef5d8f2edf42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,301
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,301 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5b…d168backed Yes | 0c | 3,561$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 0c | 3,205$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 10c | 2,206$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.97 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,700$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…e276backed Yes | 3c | 1,654$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 5c | 1,640$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.35 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65b9…dc25backed Yes | 1c | 1,584$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…2ba5backed Yes | 2c | 1,042$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,009$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ea…b02abacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 8c | 722.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed Yes | 7c | 690.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed Yes | 3c | 650.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03aa…679dbacked Yes | 10c | 599.76$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…ee54backed Yes | 4c | 453.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yes | 17c | 445.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.72 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 2c | 438.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 399.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 21c | 328.7$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x382a…b590backed Yes | 5c | 299.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…702fbacked Yes | 4c | 270.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 26c | 170$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 11c | 133.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 90.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…4f20backed Yes | 30c | 84.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked Yes | 22c | 77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 29c | 53.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.42 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 76c | 25.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcffe…146dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?this page
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.