Movies · resolved market
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8078d463f93f238d31c8779c1555ac5b2191dfdbf95efec7921f137262c8ecf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,900 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb4b…32babacked Yes | 1c | 3,886$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb719…7a78backed Yes | 1c | 3,087$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 10c | 2,985$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.26 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46a5…d3b0backed Yes | 1c | 2,534$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d4…1b4abacked Yes | 1c | 2,064$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6b…9078backed Yes | 1c | 1,859$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…1419backed Yes | 1c | 1,513$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…999ebacked Yes | 1c | 1,489$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…f0fabacked Yes | 1c | 1,458$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee87…5aa9backed Yes | 1c | 1,418$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 1c | 1,307$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 211 | 9.5%20 W · 191 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Yes | 5c | 1,115$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 934.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…2ba5backed Yes | 5c | 661.39$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…ae47backed Yes | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked Yes | 12c | 495.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…6d52backed Yes | 3c | 418.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 4c | 297.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed Yes | 7c | 285.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Yes | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 116 | 33.6%39 W · 77 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056f…e487backed Yes | 16c | 225.57$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 24c | 67.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?this page
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.