Movies · resolved market
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x418dd0cb462be6258e311340724b6b0f07f6e0f58de3998944cc1f2fd5fa2bf6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,338 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf058…e173backed No | 15c | 2,000$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 39c | 1,907$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.31 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 52c | 1,450$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.95 | 151 | 49%74 W · 77 L | +10.6wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked Yes | 47c | 1,142$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.56 | 285 | 24.2%69 W · 216 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…93eebacked No | 3c | 1,056$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 296 | 42.6%126 W · 170 L | +22.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 14c | 997$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 47 | 6.4%3 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 1c | 840.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Yes | 70c | 785.62$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.87 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed Yes | 54c | 588.84$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.09 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked No | 6c | 500.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.67 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…c67bbacked No | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 63 | 30.2%19 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Yes | 78c | 388.87$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 264 | 31.1%82 W · 182 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked No | 6c | 361.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814a…ab7abacked No | 5c | 360$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 50c | 316.34$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.07 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 42c | 244.89$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.58 | 260 | 41.2%107 W · 153 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked No | 7c | 214.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 25c | 209.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Yes | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.75 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…f566backed Yes | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 55 | 72.7%40 W · 15 L | +10.8wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 61c | 199.58$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.23 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 13c | 199.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 1,393 | 8%111 W · 1,282 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…85c6backed No | 13c | 195.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c92…3cd0backed No | 31c | 173.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Yes | 37c | 156.3$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.75 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 77c | 135.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.16 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b8…81a9backed No | 45c | 129.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfa…73acbacked Yes | 9c | 111.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 27c | 109.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.71 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 11c | 98.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 63c | 90.03$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88bb…8d2cbacked No | 48c | 90$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked No | 15c | 89.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…02ddbacked No | 38c | 85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.02 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked No | 13c | 81.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -9.7wins | -0.27per pick | 46cpaid | -65.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…6accbacked No | 41c | 77.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 19c | 77.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked No | 60c | 66.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9400…4f20backed Yes | 77c | 59.3$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea7…d0d3backed No | 35c | 57.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6b…d720backed Yes | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…ea03backed Yes | 75c | 48.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 36c | 42.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 192 | 40.6%78 W · 114 L | -20.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf626…8a12backed No | 58c | 38.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x714e…beeebacked Yes | 38c | 32.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cab…7489backed No | 78c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254c…7678backed No | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked No | 45c | 24.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 53c | 20.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x610d…6c37backed Yes | 54c | 18.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?this page
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 22m and 25m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?No won
- Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 31m?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.