TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$55,566
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,566 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x160b…4296backed No40c9,943$4,023 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,023.2321143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes61c6,000$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3704252.4%22 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Yes59c5,085$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,084.852676.9%20 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick71cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Yes59c3,646$2,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No39c3,150$1,237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,237.3721144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No45c2,999$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,349.557741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c2,202$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.611,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes60c1,917$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.679447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No41c1,609$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.883542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Yes60c1,541$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.843964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No41c1,500$615 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61517329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Yes48c1,243$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2c2c…90d4backed Yes51c1,240$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.571735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x782e…b317backed Yes58c1,131$658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.541540%6 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No40c1,109$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.7687344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes51c981.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.0911725.6%30 W · 87 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-19.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Yes59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.463141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No46c840.59$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.0615048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x05a2…468cbacked No39c799.98$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No41c755.12$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.5335037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes54c629.48$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.432729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Yes55c580$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2614856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c550.11$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.971,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e46…e394backed Yes60c334.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.061464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.871573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.0wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Yes55c306.48$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.484052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes45c299.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.975747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No41c297.61$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.0229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked Yes58c279.1$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No41c275.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.1617043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No41c250$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.99641.7%40 W · 56 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes59c220.34$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.342050%10 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked No53c217.9$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.412564%16 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+34.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Yes51c215.27$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.272524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x24b8…0e55backed No48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc2b…d830backed Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+106.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No39c170.16$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.4627748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Yes59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.73262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.79355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x802f…e008backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.678060%48 W · 32 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No43c164.78$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1945233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Yes52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked No44c135.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6959348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe937…d46abacked Yes52c127$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No44c117.15$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0318360.7%111 W · 72 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No43c115$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.251861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf680…2c59backed Yes47c107.02$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.021050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked No42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a46…ba91backed Yes60c99.15$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.154557.8%26 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb7…75f2backed Yes57c96.19$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.362744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes57c90$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.861040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Yes46c86.96$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9611044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1598…e2b6backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.75560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+162.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2104…82d7backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.753174.2%23 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Yes56c83.69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.691963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.334843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Yes61c82.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.621050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Yes56c77.21$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf993…a9f0backed Yes60c75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed No40c68$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.280%0 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe8c…664cbacked Yes60c66.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.672040%8 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes54c61$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0626346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x415d…a37cbacked Yes53c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf280…b65bbacked No41c58.25$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242520%5 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Yes55c51.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.184965.3%32 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a70…cba6backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.852653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked No50c50.29$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Yes59c50.01$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.56253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed Yes57c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.53743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x170c…7fe3backed Yes59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1248…8db1backed Yes58c49.94$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.981060%6 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+24.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes73c48.66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.064770.2%33 W · 14 L+7.7wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+61.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Yes42c47.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.933050%15 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No44c46.38$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4148649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed No46c45.06$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.65957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf270…6015backed Yes52c43.15$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.74100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+120.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Yes47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed No59c42.37$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f42…7d52backed Yes59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.37757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a30…7cb7backed Yes60c41.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed No38c41.32$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.76553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed No41c40.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.886352.4%33 W · 30 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Yes51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.62524%6 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x32f2…7830backed Yes52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.23759.5%22 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee45…e055backed Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed No40c39.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169246.7%43 W · 49 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a81…b80bbacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+46.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x461e…61fabacked Yes60c35$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.93444.1%15 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x432b…a6a6backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7b0…9178backed Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x58e0…ebecbacked Yes59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.91752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.