TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,944
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$84,329

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,944 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under52c9,655$5,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,039.81,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over56c7,777$4,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.886942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…9ec7backed Over58c4,842$2,809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,033.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under3c3,123$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.692352.2%12 W · 11 L+6.5wins+0.28per pick24cpaid+330.5%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under34c2,909$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007741.6%32 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under35c2,883$1,022 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,021.7837638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c1,874$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.981,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under36c1,641$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.5762648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c1,498$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.0248649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c1,428$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.3159348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over19c1,249$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.892729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over69c1,112$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.091963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over18c1,102$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903.256233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48d7…1bd1backed Over17c859.65$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+473.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over42c800$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4609145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over67c599.91$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.912548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over68c588.24$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.247648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over56c576.4$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.42524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over68c529.24$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.243275%24 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under46c521.84$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.3815048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over32c499.98$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.9927244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ca…6a3abacked Over31c403.23$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.23580%4 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick32cpaid+174.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb31…3bf2backed Over65c400$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401560%9 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under68c399.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.9929949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under79c364$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.884856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over57c359.83$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.734744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505747.4%27 W · 30 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.123560%21 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x57c6…fde6backed Over34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.12650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+96.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8725…4806backed Over60c265.82$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.33837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-28.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over32c250$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17027748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over63c234.1$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.813262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over56c214.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.235832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under68c204.79$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.521143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under68c200$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13631049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Over49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1022441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under66c180$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.85236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over31c161.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.2826550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9184…6048backed Over68c161.09$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.551553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9796…9032backed Over32c158.84$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.01333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.253732.4%12 W · 25 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over32c156.25$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.257429.7%22 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over68c148.02$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.024052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24b8…0e55backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.069262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over38c146.84$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.9310952.3%57 W · 52 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under36c142$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.86755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under66c132.72$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.065957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under32c129.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6745233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over33c121.67$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.674843.8%21 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60c2…8052backed Over28c107.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.332536%9 W · 16 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed Over30c100.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over13c100$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8726660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed Over60c97.84$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.14540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under55c93.03$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5117251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over28c91.08$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.585435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Over19c90.42$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.9333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+72%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74be…d9dbbacked Over56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Over56c87.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.52842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-29.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under68c86.25$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over50c78$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.895750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over55c77.77$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over51c74.78$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.898653.5%46 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over67c74.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.635650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under38c73.72$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.2613144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under70c71.44$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over53c71.11$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.422860.7%17 W · 11 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick44cpaid+46.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked Over51c67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.12035%7 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5ba…960fbacked Under69c65.22$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5683…3ea1backed Over68c61.76$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.761963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25ef…8e6fbacked Over32c59.38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.38837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dc4…3479backed Under69c58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.02757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Over32c56.25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.256248.4%30 W · 32 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+25.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Over66c55.09$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.73560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over30c51.23$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.862272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+57.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over44c50.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2820860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Under30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.87844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over25c50$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.511256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a90…2ff9backed Over32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Over30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355044%22 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over31c46.52$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.18333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e40…7d1fbacked Over55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.453122.6%7 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9675…6bf3backed Over58c43.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+29.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under68c43$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2421144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.88856.8%50 W · 38 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked Over56c39.48$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.371241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x630e…bbd7backed Under55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+51.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over56c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.842839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeabe…5910backed Under39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under72c34.72$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over68c33.82$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Under68c33.42$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.739355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed Over67c32.84$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.84771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+45.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Under52c32.46$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.892630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ca5…3af6backed Over63c31.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.831154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c66…5ab3backed Over32c31.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+76.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.