TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,811
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,946

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,811 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xead0…f3babacked Under47c10,638$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.971338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Under47c9,596$4,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5103542.9%15 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+41.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Under46c9,564$4,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,415.681070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Under47c9,000$4,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,229.965354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c6,975$3,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,231.61,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over53c6,973$3,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,245.821143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb15c…9ec7backed Over51c5,859$2,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,870.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over53c3,651$1,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,698.29742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6d1…62eabacked Under45c3,600$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,619.873551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over54c3,006$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,383.5121144.5%94 W · 117 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over53c2,900$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,36331049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under50c2,215$1,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,106.264856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under43c1,884$810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$810.3915048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over53c1,777$942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.1720150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked Over47c1,697$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.661553.3%8 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over53c1,688$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793.3612147.9%58 W · 63 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c1,275$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.1187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under44c1,232$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.321,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over53c1,225$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.781921.1%4 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick36cpaid-52.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under47c1,064$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under47c1,045$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+26.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over54c1,000$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4601346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4707549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4801968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66e1…0f14backed Under47c950$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44780%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.092548%12 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under56c901.79$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb48b…04ebbacked Under47c900$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Under55c884$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.2450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under55c883$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.653141.9%13 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-24.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under45c878.94$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.4448649%238 W · 248 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x548c…9d1fbacked Under47c850$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.580%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under45c800.46$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.1229949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over72c771.13$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.231963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over55c744$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.84755.3%26 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over55c727.27$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.275461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under45c687.92$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.8759348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed Over53c632$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under52c631.74$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.3362648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over76c562.13$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.713275%24 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Over54c549.24$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.65475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over55c545.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.451855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Over46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2701154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over30c500$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.30per pick41cpaid+73.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Over52c480.78$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.783644.4%16 W · 20 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed Under54c468.32$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8920%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over54c462.96$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.967648.7%37 W · 39 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under47c460$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.217043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over49c455.92$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.4224051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over53c403.53$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1895957.6%34 W · 25 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over40c395.58$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.583560%21 W · 14 L+6.7wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+44.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x064e…4347backed Over53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.36450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over55c365.28$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.289447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over55c348.07$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.631662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab90…5793backed Over73c339.99$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.51668.8%11 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3080…f041backed Over45c336.7$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.7560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over49c325.97$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.979262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Over53c323$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.819355.9%52 W · 41 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over45c318.03$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.578333.7%28 W · 55 L+0.3wins0.00per pick33cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under44c297.52$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.916553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.731050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over54c250$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under45c249.99$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ccb…07cfbacked Over56c229.28$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Under50c223.45$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.354141.5%17 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa0…be2dbacked Under48c219.39$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over53c216.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.98540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-36.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Under48c200$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79b6…612ebacked Over71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over53c190$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.32343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over70c185$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.51650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a9…d343backed Over61c180.45$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.452524%6 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.18per pick42cpaid-47.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.85236.5%19 W · 33 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d4…8e51backed Over46c172.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.34771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+45%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.679920.2%20 W · 79 L-10.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-28.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Over53c160.89$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.624965.3%32 W · 17 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+13%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0293…f15bbacked Over53c148.4$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.75475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+27.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over75c143.6$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.92774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over39c142.67$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.035435.2%19 W · 35 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over54c140$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.43647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over44c138.64$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.646842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over54c134.68$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.8417251.2%88 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under45c129.16$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.742924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe704…7558backed Over51c127.08$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.084052.5%21 W · 19 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over55c125$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Under47c119.99$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.397655.3%42 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over50c106.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.9411044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over62c106.73$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2711256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under46c101.53$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.7945233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e0e…1512backed Over54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7122340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over28c100$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+80.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444348.8%21 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Over45c99.99$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.994316.3%7 W · 36 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid+29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over54c99.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.992272.7%16 W · 6 L+5.7wins+0.26per pick47cpaid+57.1%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Over43c99.98$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.993158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.