TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,409
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,544

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,409 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under26c10,861$2,776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.41,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over79c1,911$1,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.314755.3%26 W · 21 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under31c1,640$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.384856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over78c1,526$1,191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.783964.1%25 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33017329.5%51 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under21c1,278$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.7887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ce…21ebbacked Over78c1,157$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.54366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Under25c1,114$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.782729.6%8 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa445…6711backed Over62c1,105$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$419.991968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Over76c850.8$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.621346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick55cpaid+476.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2039…acddbacked Over75c666.2$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf074…9164backed Over75c646.84$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.71450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Over80c559.46$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.891963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce90…d285backed Over76c524$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.164266.7%28 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Under23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11527244.9%122 W · 150 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under21c452.51$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0327748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over78c434.1$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.53275%24 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over67c404.99$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.31080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over74c402.91$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.918654.7%47 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3df…34d1backed Over65c401.53$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb3f…e8a6backed Over79c379.75$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.753100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under24c347.68$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8715048.7%73 W · 77 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under35c337.88$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.0862648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over79c313.92$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Over62c312.5$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.761566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+68.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over70c287.27$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.0559348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under43c280$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.41323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick40cpaid-46.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Over78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4114340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over78c250$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5533148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234e…fa88backed Over78c217.95$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.95250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ff…81a0backed Over77c212.35$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.962356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over65c204.17$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.526346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8db…ccfbbacked Over70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick66cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa20f…fcaabacked Over78c200$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4480%0 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc7dc…af80backed Over78c199.51$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.891090%9 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick64cpaid+45.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f4b…b015backed Over79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.872100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f33…0d47backed Over62c160.32$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.92966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+91.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.52875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+31.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under37c151.15$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9337638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c4…359ebacked Over62c140.8$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.51764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.2wins+0.19per pick46cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under43c140$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.22142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over79c136.08$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.582774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over77c135.99$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.283250%16 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c0a…9104backed Over63c130$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over78c130$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.63262.5%20 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Over78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.212060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eca…576bbacked Over79c126.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.582100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb4…d79fbacked Over80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Under21c119.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253650%18 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over77c118$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1417043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Over73c117$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.776755.2%37 W · 30 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over78c112.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.828254.9%45 W · 37 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked Under23c108.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251127.3%3 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick54cpaid-52.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over66c106.06$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.065650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.66253.2%33 W · 29 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4122340.8%91 W · 132 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3826660.5%161 W · 105 L+25.2wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over77c99.47$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8831049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d98…84cabacked Under21c95.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.21333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+72%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ca9…37d8backed Over79c94.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.94944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8311…3ed4backed Under26c94.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over78c89.61$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.617869.2%54 W · 24 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick68cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under23c86.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over76c84.68$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc6e…d043backed Over78c74.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over80c73.77$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.811753.8%63 W · 54 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.44560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under21c67.2$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2645233.6%152 W · 300 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df7…29c5backed Over75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.671090%9 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick70cpaid+28.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over61c64.67$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.126550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf788…6f86backed Over75c64$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163855.3%21 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over79c63.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.489152.7%48 W · 43 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over60c62.25$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.866762.7%42 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f88…293bbacked Under26c55.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.55742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc38d…48e3backed Over69c50.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.482286.4%19 W · 3 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick66cpaid+30.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb992…0838backed Over75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.51080%8 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+14.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Over79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.57051.4%36 W · 34 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x22b0…ef31backed Over80c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…1415backed Over78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111877.8%14 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Under21c48.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.185044%22 W · 28 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc5…a45bbacked Over78c41.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…5712backed Over71c40.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.772100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe69d…c1d1backed Over75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ed5…869abacked Over76c38.3$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed Over79c37.97$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.972951.7%15 W · 14 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick64cpaid-26.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ca5…3af6backed Over57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over76c30.26$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.261369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick70cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0947…f948backed Over72c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x125c…f50abacked Over74c27.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.03850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.644864.6%31 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…8066backed Over80c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb25…3c61backed Over78c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.5250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc32…00bfbacked Over61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.593650%18 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x241e…04cbbacked Over65c23.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.08450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Over79c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21656.3%9 W · 7 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick70cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over78c20$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.322630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-45.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.