Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x640bd56f482f5659ae5622e99a404ef02d44785e3729f0fb92778e1eab8bb870
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 5,117$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.95 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 837.18$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.12 | 920 | 50.9%468 W · 452 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 42c | 689.31$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.78 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 30c | 383.88$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.17 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x621e…471fbacked Yes | 49c | 305.14$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.14 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -11.2wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 48c | 272.81$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.95 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258f…4493backed Yes | 49c | 260$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.6 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…8936backed No | 9c | 218.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1233…d58fbacked Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 49c | 198.4$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.22 | 706 | 39.5%279 W · 427 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f6…4892backed Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e46…e394backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed No | 54c | 176$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.52 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 69c | 157$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed No | 10c | 149.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 30c | 140$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 136.44$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.51 | 2,175 | 37.6%817 W · 1,358 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 68c | 126.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 47c | 121.19$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.72 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ce…2414backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked No | 53c | 114$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.42 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 58c | 107.96$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.62 | 771 | 41.8%322 W · 449 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…ee49backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 56c | 97.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 44c | 93.9$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…839cbacked No | 55c | 92.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 56c | 88.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60c2…8052backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.24 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked No | 46c | 77.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.61 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…d837backed No | 14c | 76.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 47c | 70$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Yes | 35c | 64.24$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.97 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 43c | 63.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 56c | 63.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 75c | 59.5$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26c8…c50abacked Yes | 54c | 57.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…16b7backed Yes | 54c | 56.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332d…7b0ebacked Yes | 50c | 53.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 46c | 53.21$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Yes | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…3852backed Yes | 54c | 45.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 50c | 45.28$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…c55fbacked No | 47c | 45.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b5…20fcbacked No | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 48c | 40.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…74ffbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 46c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…cd85backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 40c | 37.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 67c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 52c | 30.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked No | 49c | 28.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…de71backed No | 56c | 26.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 42c | 26.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2394…9312backed Yes | 52c | 26.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…94d3backed Yes | 49c | 24.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 43c | 23.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Yes | 67c | 21.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +67%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed Yes | 48c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4850…6442backed No | 69c | 20.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa220…178dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc98…7667backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…5c05backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +128.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5Over won
- PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.