TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,239
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,085

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,239 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe90b…5da2backed Over22c35,555$7,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,822.075846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under78c29,429$22,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,538.873,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under78c6,700$5,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,473.9333349.8%166 W · 167 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under76c3,736$2,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878.5884850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Over26c1,004$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256.993852.6%20 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Over22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2202240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over10c873$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.36323.8%15 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over28c744$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.124235.7%15 W · 27 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a43…1405backed Under79c449.98$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.5757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid-24.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over25c400.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over28c399.54$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.871241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc1…3512backed Over23c353.06$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.27520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Under61c343.26$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.87366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under59c316$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.561741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over24c263.8$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3138247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over24c250$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605221.2%11 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4730…cdb1backed Over23c233.58$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.01520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-54.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010034%34 W · 66 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd286…4c1bbacked Over23c217.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad9d…f2cdbacked Over20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under75c193.33$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.6670239.3%276 W · 426 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over28c177.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014963.1%94 W · 55 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365554.5%30 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1985…8cbdbacked Under55c148.31$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.31580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Under73c137.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.24977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick70cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3798…2e72backed Over16c130.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick27cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Under69c119.09$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.222330.4%7 W · 16 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503327.3%9 W · 24 L-5.8wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over24c116.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.141,02247.5%485 W · 537 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12bd…8f48backed Under61c110$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21eb…839cbacked Under68c108$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.56450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under78c101.09$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.197055.7%39 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae81…3ebfbacked Over25c92$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over15c89.6$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.442,16737.6%815 W · 1,352 L+5.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Over19c79.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15100%0 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over27c69.48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7621243.9%93 W · 119 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over24c59.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1736136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaff…e10fbacked Over25c56.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c9a…2be6backed Over26c53.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.89540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6f…7a43backed Over23c51$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.73333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x103d…f7eabacked Over26c50.5$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.13520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-72.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9ba…f500backed Over23c49.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7272…505dbacked Over21c48.24$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c9c…4f90backed Over26c46.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.17333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under79c45.59$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5617249.4%85 W · 87 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93c1…5981backed Under68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.122100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over31c44.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5220047%94 W · 106 L-11.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over24c43.32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.41,31650.8%668 W · 648 L+33.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd43…d643backed Over24c42.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x431d…4457backed Over26c42.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over26c40.16$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.442548%12 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae55…9385backed Over28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+19.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34e4…6fd7backed Over26c39.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-56.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over42c36.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.391921.1%4 W · 15 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x903e…f27bbacked Under78c32.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.153100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59037.8%34 W · 56 L-12.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over42c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.59444.7%42 W · 52 L-7.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Under72c24.09$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.877751.9%40 W · 37 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under76c23.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.762,99042.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L+9.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f2c…b875backed Under76c19.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.72450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa375…74e8backed Under76c19.43$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.66475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabe9…7cb3backed Under78c18.9$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb228…d3c5backed Under76c18.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecc…5cacbacked Under78c18.33$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.03580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bdf…c524backed Under76c18.25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.38366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cda…8051backed Under76c18.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x030b…4035backed Under76c17.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.323100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Under70c17.9$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3719546.2%90 W · 105 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fcd…d93ebacked Under76c17.58$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.22966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f2c…71adbacked Under76c16.95$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fdb…e8b3backed Under76c16.76$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd53…e541backed Under76c16.47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x277b…2baabacked Under78c16.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-55.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xac64…0041backed Under78c16.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-57.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ae…78b3backed Under76c15.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…6b6bbacked Under80c15.51$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.1425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-68.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5e…8919backed Under76c15.46$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.71683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.39per pick44cpaid+120.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb968…fa1ebacked Under78c15.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under80c15$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33351.5%17 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04ef…6bf9backed Under78c14.87$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86e3…6a57backed Under76c14.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b1e…5bdfbacked Under76c14.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.53580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb953…7b72backed Under80c14.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.924100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96cd…814abacked Under76c14.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.515100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+51.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f38…c357backed Under76c14.46$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5949…c8f3backed Under76c14.28$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+58.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68a9…3b6abacked Under80c14.01$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.86100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba88…fdeabacked Under76c13.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.36771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb152…ef4cbacked Under78c13.46$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.962161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98e…e2ccbacked Under76c13.24$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.182100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b4…bd90backed Under80c13.08$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x925a…4961backed Under80c12.96$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd73a…cdd1backed Under80c12.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.