Europa Conference League · resolved market
PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffd30496ab15e42de5ae253f0209788af5445b2dbbce6976ac89d10e03eeda0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,159
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,159 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd35…17debacked Over | 71c | 14,147$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,146.68 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 9,860$3,392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,392.04 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 34c | 9,197$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.51 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed Over | 55c | 2,730$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.37 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 2,102$1,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.53 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 30c | 2,094$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.62 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 48c | 1,575$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 1,013$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.51 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 71c | 823.1$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 68c | 790$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.07 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 50c | 545.08$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.71 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Under | 30c | 521.09$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 32c | 379.83$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.9 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 33c | 332.12$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.21 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Over | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 68c | 265$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.8 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Over | 71c | 264.24$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.63 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 66c | 262$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 180 | 49.4%89 W · 91 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa567…063dbacked Over | 67c | 252.91$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.46 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 29c | 249.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…6bcfbacked Over | 68c | 247.02$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…6f3ebacked Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 72c | 199.97$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 54c | 185.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.46 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 56c | 178.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.74 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b73…45d9backed Over | 70c | 157.15$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.3wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31f0…0556backed Over | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…b0e6backed Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 102.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.08 | 702 | 39.3%276 W · 426 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 86.89$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.91 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 26c | 73.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…ee49backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 56c | 71.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…60a1backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e0…132abacked Over | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Under | 30c | 65.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 53c | 57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 73c | 54.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 68c | 51.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce1…19f3backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 54c | 49.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8311…3ed4backed Under | 31c | 49.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 34cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 70c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb864…aa13backed Over | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…b17fbacked Over | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 638 | 57.2%365 W · 273 L | +35.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabb2…5a2dbacked Over | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb74…808fbacked Over | 69c | 39.44$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 109 | 63.3%69 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 53c | 29.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | -11.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…2997backed Over | 71c | 28.97$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Over | 70c | 28.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 57cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dda…35d5backed Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ea…6cb9backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ca…5944backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 53 | 71.7%38 W · 15 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a94…b06bbacked Over | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba77…da86backed Over | 67c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…12ffbacked Over | 70c | 16.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.82 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Over | 67c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Over | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 70c | 14.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5this page
- PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5Over won
- PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 3.5Under won
- PAOK vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: PAOK (-1.5)RC Celta de Vigo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.