Ligue 1 · resolved market
FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61b65210c77c826e3de10f05daaac0737c0fd1276d94ce0c4b49361c9fac12bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,889
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,933
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,889 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 1,456$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.14 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 50c | 997.2$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.2 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b52…e79dbacked Yes | 53c | 452.83$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 424.62$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.84 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 50c | 384$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0c…218abacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 52c | 290.42$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +68.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 50c | 155.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 593 | 48.4%287 W · 306 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a67…52edbacked Yes | 50c | 146.94$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.57 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed No | 47c | 132$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3d…189dbacked No | 55c | 103.64$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 102.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Yes | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 49c | 58.21$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 52c | 57.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a70…cba6backed Yes | 49c | 50.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 47c | 49.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 183 | 60.7%111 W · 72 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked No | 48c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…7b3fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…033dbacked Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 50c | 39.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6c…ac71backed Yes | 53c | 38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 52c | 37.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2810…a1a8backed Yes | 49c | 32.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 72 | 27.8%20 W · 52 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94e5…52bebacked No | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…4523backed Yes | 53c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd179…361ebacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Yes | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebc…bb17backed Yes | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 49c | 24.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 52c | 20.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.