TailMyPicks
Market

Ligue 1 · resolved market

FC Nantes vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,535
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,535 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under62c14,593$9,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,571.41,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under48c8,385$4,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,360.159159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over52c8,333$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,333.161717.6%3 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.22per pick40cpaid-65.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Over27c7,500$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0005729.8%17 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c3,999$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.53663.9%23 W · 13 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under54c2,711$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,235.2219055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Over50c1,327$664 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.51127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc57…f5f4backed Over40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-67.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x832c…c46ebacked Over43c1,157$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c986.25$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.6487344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over49c850$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.42138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9030…4a23backed Over46c782.61$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3601369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe9e…7505backed Over48c772.25$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.6850%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over51c732.06$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.35757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over51c686.27$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3501050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea32…8870backed Over50c620$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over42c619.05$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2609145.1%41 W · 50 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c581.61$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.8462648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under60c579.78$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.911,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Over46c400$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1828444%37 W · 47 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2af2…ec6fbacked Over16c399.63$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.471241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Over24c360$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.41711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-67.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Under49c346.54$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.732540%10 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under49c307$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.5717043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over49c234.78$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1729949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ff0…271bbacked Over51c210$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.11080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x981f…8993backed Over49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9231049.4%153 W · 157 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over45c197.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899262%57 W · 35 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over56c179.99$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.794744.7%21 W · 26 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Over45c161.31$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.084151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over37c150.88$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.4659348.4%287 W · 306 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over46c150$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+23%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under49c150$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.523260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c137.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7524051.7%124 W · 116 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4e3…0d1abacked Over24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1817…5f80backed Over49c124.73$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.12450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+115.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd47d…379abacked Over46c116.76$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under49c115$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6511556.5%65 W · 50 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0684…d1fabacked Over50c110$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552035%7 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef4…3405backed Over36c102.78$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-34.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf3b…0375backed Over47c100$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over52c99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.482548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Under49c90$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.98460.7%51 W · 33 L+8.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd53…a861backed Over49c85$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd56d…5c46backed Over47c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.230%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404628.3%13 W · 33 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over38c71.05$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275650%28 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.610756.1%60 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.67452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd885…c666backed Over51c59.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.241145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-23.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d54…6c91backed Over52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf292…1cc7backed Over52c55.77$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256233.9%21 W · 41 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Over48c53.61$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.567227.8%20 W · 52 L-10.8wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Under49c51.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.159158.2%53 W · 38 L+7.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over51c50.98$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265440.7%22 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.56150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb47e…8a93backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e45…402bbacked Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over42c47.62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20dc…f74cbacked Over44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-22.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Under49c44.9$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.92650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff6b…8a9ebacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201020%2 W · 8 L-3.7wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-68.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over48c42.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.197853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+20.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14c3…0262backed Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20238.7%2 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8429…8e64backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-41.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd944…07d5backed Under52c39.46$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.94540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204934.7%17 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf628…ba6fbacked Over40c36.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.72933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-52.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc973…d2b1backed Over50c36.78$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c1d…e1f4backed Under51c34.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f37…acacbacked Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a4…1573backed Under51c32.54$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.942100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5de…a312backed Under49c31.1$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.861154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over49c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0644…d3d6backed Over50c30.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74035%14 W · 26 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-29.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19fe…dbd8backed Under51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over51c25.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1914057.1%80 W · 60 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Under49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7510158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under49c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7510055%55 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Under53c24.45$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.494856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d21…08d3backed Under49c23.59$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.031145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb59a…e730backed Under51c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.275100%5 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+90.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Over46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1210643.4%46 W · 60 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fef…a3d3backed Under51c22$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf5e…21b3backed Over52c21.15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3585…78d8backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b05…1d33backed Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.