TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Santa Cruz: Facundo Mena vs Valerio Aboian

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Valerio Aboianof Facundo Mena, Valerio Aboian
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$74,202
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$76,657

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,202 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x969b…db70backed Facundo Mena0c16,787$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.79420%0 W · 42 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Facundo Mena20c10,492$2,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,062.488,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Facundo Mena9c3,716$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.381,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fd9…544abacked Facundo Mena59c2,489$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.0120155.7%112 W · 89 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Facundo Mena67c2,271$1,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,522.7111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Valerio Aboian62c1,737$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.093,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Valerio Aboian68c1,420$972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.632,41750.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L+78.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Facundo Mena22c1,325$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.499737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…eba7backed Valerio Aboian38c1,075$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.0212235.2%43 W · 79 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Facundo Mena31c1,007$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.14,42651.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L+136.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Facundo Mena33c926.66$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.021,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Valerio Aboian75c853.58$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.1133163.7%211 W · 120 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7509…b7c8backed Facundo Mena58c845.41$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.093574.3%26 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick66cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Facundo Mena46c841.39$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.615,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc418…5e1ebacked Facundo Mena50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df2…c11dbacked Valerio Aboian49c798.33$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.685552.7%29 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Facundo Mena63c743.84$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.594,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Valerio Aboian42c697.62$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.61,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Valerio Aboian29c686.2$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.8734847.1%164 W · 184 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Valerio Aboian30c653.61$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.1197745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Valerio Aboian28c603.15$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.1536944.4%164 W · 205 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c7a…7625backed Facundo Mena66c572$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.5226045.4%118 W · 142 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93c8…adffbacked Facundo Mena8c483.33$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7926847%126 W · 142 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Valerio Aboian50c336.12$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.641,42848.2%689 W · 739 L+4.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Valerio Aboian68c330.44$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.16,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84d8…9ccdbacked Valerio Aboian45c303.77$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.6212249.2%60 W · 62 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Facundo Mena35c265.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.476,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Valerio Aboian31c257.44$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2751339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Valerio Aboian40c238.57$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.141,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Valerio Aboian42c230.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.691,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Valerio Aboian73c229.1$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.861,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10fd…633bbacked Facundo Mena69c228.67$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.786360.3%38 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Valerio Aboian67c227.21$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6555360.4%334 W · 219 L+32.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2488…ff0ebacked Valerio Aboian39c204.16$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3648650.6%246 W · 240 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked Valerio Aboian66c196.35$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0552854.9%290 W · 238 L+20.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7820…5b79backed Valerio Aboian26c183.77$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.9920515.6%32 W · 173 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Valerio Aboian75c181.68$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.941,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed Facundo Mena75c159$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.2529553.2%157 W · 138 L-17.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Valerio Aboian70c157.96$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60a3…3850backed Facundo Mena12c153.9$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7285624.4%209 W · 647 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Facundo Mena60c153.81$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8830131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Valerio Aboian27c150.47$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.847,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…4bcdbacked Facundo Mena34c147.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.3614333.6%48 W · 95 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-28.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Valerio Aboian52c142.78$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.391,06557.4%611 W · 454 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Facundo Mena47c141.77$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.21,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Facundo Mena47c140.88$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2229652.4%155 W · 141 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Facundo Mena18c134.77$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.874,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e5f…6cecbacked Facundo Mena56c125.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.127749.8%138 W · 139 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Valerio Aboian57c123.13$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.524,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x081a…66d0backed Valerio Aboian27c101.87$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3715948.4%77 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Valerio Aboian30c100$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Facundo Mena25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Valerio Aboian58c98.89$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9622550.2%113 W · 112 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Valerio Aboian54c98.71$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2556754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Valerio Aboian43c96.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0592352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Facundo Mena69c96.18$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3699056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Facundo Mena30c93.79$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.552739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x65cf…5cdebacked Valerio Aboian27c90.95$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.3922646%104 W · 122 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Valerio Aboian46c84.14$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.441,14247.3%540 W · 602 L+65.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Valerio Aboian40c82.9$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.7481457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Facundo Mena42c76.74$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.583,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Facundo Mena70c73.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5956757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76a6…b7dcbacked Facundo Mena66c73.47$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.495944.1%26 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Valerio Aboian55c71.86$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.412,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Facundo Mena77c69.25$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.3281255.3%449 W · 363 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Facundo Mena51c64.35$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.972,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a84…e21abacked Valerio Aboian31c61.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.779529.5%28 W · 67 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbb5…f531backed Facundo Mena72c61.45$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.247753.2%41 W · 36 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Facundo Mena76c56.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.261,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Valerio Aboian76c51.26$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3891880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed Facundo Mena49c49.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5474346.3%344 W · 399 L-12.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c1c…b4f1backed Facundo Mena73c49.63$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.2318166.9%121 W · 60 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Facundo Mena41c49.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3756817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Valerio Aboian62c47.14$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6945051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed Facundo Mena60c40.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4230351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Facundo Mena69c40.44$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.92,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb883…3994backed Valerio Aboian39c39.83$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2521549.8%107 W · 108 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77d4…3983backed Valerio Aboian31c38$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.229750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Facundo Mena74c37.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.8314958.4%87 W · 62 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32a3…a349backed Valerio Aboian73c37.45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.115438.9%21 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17f7…a181backed Facundo Mena69c35.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5451347%241 W · 272 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60a2…7a1fbacked Valerio Aboian75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.3318478.8%145 W · 39 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick75cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53ae…f71ebacked Facundo Mena71c31.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5439039.5%154 W · 236 L-46.8wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-30.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Valerio Aboian54c31.71$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5916447.6%78 W · 86 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…3f92backed Valerio Aboian80c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.2522482.6%185 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick80cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb239…80b4backed Facundo Mena70c29.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.626354%34 W · 29 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x305b…cd21backed Facundo Mena73c26.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6855059.1%325 W · 225 L+12.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6031…de1ebacked Facundo Mena69c24.89$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1311258.9%66 W · 46 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…9d28backed Facundo Mena71c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.213553.3%72 W · 63 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed Facundo Mena70c20$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1d…7132backed Facundo Mena74c19.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.771450%7 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Facundo Mena73c19.82$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4328164.4%181 W · 100 L+10.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed Facundo Mena63c17.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0718152.5%95 W · 86 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6b3…f8c1backed Facundo Mena61c16.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1315641.7%65 W · 91 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2917…a884backed Facundo Mena72c15.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec74…9e6abacked Facundo Mena66c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.312951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Facundo Mena70c14.56$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.192552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.