South American Leagues · resolved market
São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f88d324f5b169d0037980997d56ee31e9c37965c0ec4a912c909791c20902d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 48c | 4,868$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.81 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 4,687$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.05 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 61c | 443.39$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.51 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 55c | 418.97$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Under | 33c | 407.06$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.68 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 49c | 320.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.28 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 46c | 316.71$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 302.71$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.02 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 285.85$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.86 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 48c | 253.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.91 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 52c | 247.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.96 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ef…9fadbacked Over | 40c | 241$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Under | 51c | 240.16$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.88 | 109 | 64.2%70 W · 39 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 56c | 223.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 203.57$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.24 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Over | 33c | 197.39$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.45 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 51c | 194.12$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.12 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4178…8b48backed Under | 68c | 173.9$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…8151backed Over | 17c | 167.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 24c | 163.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 66c | 152.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.01 | 293 | 62.5%183 W · 110 L | +13.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 144.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.6 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 68c | 144.23$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.07 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25d4…26fdbacked Over | 50c | 112.28$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under | 47c | 106$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.18 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 53c | 103.01$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under | 45c | 96.83$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.51 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 67c | 96.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 104 | 65.4%68 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Under | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32bb…b5c4backed Over | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53fa…83f9backed Under | 46c | 77.47$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Over | 42c | 72.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.29 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 48c | 67.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 48c | 67.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f0…5d25backed Over | 54c | 63.28$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 58cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 46c | 61.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.04 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Over | 49c | 58.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.98 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 68c | 53.88$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 52c | 46.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 43.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 507 | 46.7%237 W · 270 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 43c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed Under | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 172 | 61%105 W · 67 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed Under | 54c | 25.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 59c | 23.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 62c | 22.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 51c | 20.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54e1…9de8backed Under | 63c | 20.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 78c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.41 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…a496backed Under | 53c | 19.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Over | 64c | 15.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)São Paulo FC won
- São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.