South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fe1beff435ed6d924b889210424117078bf84d51dd69eb64e7d305a16643956
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- São Paulo FCof São Paulo FC, O'Higgins FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,200
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,005
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,200 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed São Paulo FC | 45c | 33,228$15,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,117.22 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed O'Higgins FC | 53c | 5,831$3,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,090.32 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +6.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 4,297$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,392.75 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 3,326$1,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,862.6 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked O'Higgins FC | 53c | 2,227$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.96 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked O'Higgins FC | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed O'Higgins FC | 53c | 1,759$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.51 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed O'Higgins FC | 53c | 1,377$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.39 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked O'Higgins FC | 55c | 1,229$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.21 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 1,148$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.39 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 1,131$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.85 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 1,131$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.85 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 874.64$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.8 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 874.64$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.8 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked O'Higgins FC | 53c | 834.24$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.15 | 724 | 50.6%366 W · 358 L | -24.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked O'Higgins FC | 53c | 792.95$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.43 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 526.93$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.08 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5734…698bbacked São Paulo FC | 48c | 411.74$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 353.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.72 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed O'Higgins FC | 52c | 316.14$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.39 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked São Paulo FC | 43c | 235.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked O'Higgins FC | 52c | 231.65$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.36 | 2,173 | 43.6%948 W · 1,225 L | -55.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed O'Higgins FC | 36c | 228.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.74 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 191.24$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked O'Higgins FC | 53c | 183.36$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.18 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 179.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 179.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 179.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.36 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891f…88bfbacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 153.93$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.2 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 123.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.65 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked O'Higgins FC | 53c | 116.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.81 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb94…7bc0backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 114.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed O'Higgins FC | 20c | 113.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.06 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…332fbacked O'Higgins FC | 53c | 110.02$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.31 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked O'Higgins FC | 53c | 106.24$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.31 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed O'Higgins FC | 53c | 97.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 406 | 51%207 W · 199 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 92.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 92.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 86.93$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.68 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed O'Higgins FC | 53c | 73.34$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.87 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked São Paulo FC | 45c | 69.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7757backed O'Higgins FC | 57c | 65.83$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked O'Higgins FC | 52c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed São Paulo FC | 49c | 59.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.27 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd210…92dfbacked São Paulo FC | 48c | 58.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.23 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed São Paulo FC | 46c | 53.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked O'Higgins FC | 52c | 50.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,447 | 45.9%664 W · 783 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de9…9499backed São Paulo FC | 49c | 49.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.32 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 49.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed São Paulo FC | 49c | 49.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -5.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed O'Higgins FC | 51c | 46.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6a…0056backed São Paulo FC | 52c | 42.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked São Paulo FC | 45c | 41.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 130 | 23.1%30 W · 100 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 41.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 41.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 38.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.81 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked O'Higgins FC | 53c | 35.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed São Paulo FC | 48c | 32.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 27.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c07…5feabacked São Paulo FC | 49c | 26.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659f…04e4backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 25.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 23.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed O'Higgins FC | 56c | 22.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked O'Higgins FC | 56c | 22.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked O'Higgins FC | 53c | 21.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6752…25c2backed São Paulo FC | 65c | 17.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)this page
- São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- São Paulo FC vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.