Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe48ddaf94b4f64525cc2f3054de59f4464760ccbee4adddde3bd44e5266b76d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfca2…0a7fbacked No | 2c | 1,297$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed No | 1c | 1,098$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 52 | 0%0 W · 52 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed No | 12c | 659.17$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.29 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 30c | 309.47$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.45 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 55c | 291.39$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.5 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…d1c0backed Yes | 35c | 278.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.69 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…8f47backed No | 13c | 257.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 22c | 244.43$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.46 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 61c | 240.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.4 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…e889backed Yes | 63c | 237$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.82 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +12.9wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…fc3dbacked No | 19c | 236.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 277 | 56%155 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 31c | 202.12$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa8…fd4ebacked Yes | 45c | 191.23$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.97 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 159.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 27c | 132.61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.46 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed No | 8c | 131.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 29c | 121.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.17 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 66c | 120.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3af…33a9backed Yes | 43c | 110.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.39 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…eb2abacked No | 68c | 109.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.69 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4536…c729backed Yes | 37c | 102.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e9c…f3a8backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 602 | 36.5%220 W · 382 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 62c | 98.49$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.92 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 25c | 97.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked No | 67c | 96.73$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 67c | 95.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.52 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…fa02backed No | 28c | 90.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 40c | 86.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3141…f16abacked Yes | 52c | 79.31$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…b7a3backed Yes | 47c | 77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 32c | 76.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed Yes | 39c | 74.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.67 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 24c | 72.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 37c | 72.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…0b7ebacked Yes | 31c | 71.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 29c | 70.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.05 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…b127backed Yes | 76c | 70$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f12…aa7cbacked Yes | 29c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.7 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…1b6fbacked Yes | 32c | 69.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…16a5backed Yes | 48c | 69.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 30c | 64.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 60c | 63.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe2fb…1c67backed Yes | 77c | 62.64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.17 | 98 | 77.6%76 W · 22 L | +16.3wins | +0.17per pick | 61cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…8ac5backed No | 62c | 62.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 70 | 34.3%24 W · 46 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4da…dfb5backed Yes | 23c | 60.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 33c | 59.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e2…fb46backed Yes | 51c | 58.31$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 167 | 38.9%65 W · 102 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed Yes | 69c | 58.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 70c | 57.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…0247backed No | 68c | 57.51$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 72c | 57.48$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa6…0062backed Yes | 76c | 56.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 38c | 55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e9…dc76backed Yes | 78c | 50.32$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 40c | 49.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 72c | 49.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bb…e181backed Yes | 36c | 46.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 120 | 33.3%40 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…0b22backed Yes | 23c | 46.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.71 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ee…44a4backed Yes | 22c | 46.1$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 44c | 43.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 52c | 43.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.83 | 189 | 48.1%91 W · 98 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e66…52f5backed Yes | 33c | 42.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.88 | 67 | 20.9%14 W · 53 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5946…5937backed Yes | 36c | 40.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 67c | 40.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 28c | 39.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 32c | 38.7$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc342…c744backed No | 65c | 38.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…895ebacked Yes | 53c | 36.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…c3acbacked Yes | 74c | 35.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 32c | 35.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…2ea5backed Yes | 41c | 34.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d4…ae97backed Yes | 42c | 32.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 61c | 31.02$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 65c | 30.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc362…14a8backed Yes | 65c | 29.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +14%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc10f…7972backed Yes | 75c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 59cpaid | +43%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 78c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…996bbacked Yes | 80c | 23.24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 65 | 78.5%51 W · 14 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 69c | 22.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…dc79backed Yes | 64c | 22.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked No | 75c | 22.34$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e99…9584backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b7…4a73backed No | 79c | 19.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 32 | 78.1%25 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12b0…53b1backed No | 54c | 18.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked No | 69c | 18.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C or below on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or higher on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.