Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x389e2af912c3a1a9481b9efbff453954934c3e10fbfa7578fb7e648ba1fa25f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3ce0…59d5backed No | 0c | 37,517$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 74c | 320.24$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 58c | 248.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.22 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 229.94$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.24 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 41c | 227.27$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.27 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 37c | 176.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.76 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…f304backed Yes | 66c | 170.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked No | 60c | 160.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 59c | 158.37$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 18c | 156.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 33c | 149.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 58c | 148.59$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 130$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 40c | 118.35$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes | 43c | 115.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.11 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e84…659dbacked No | 74c | 114.14$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.76 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked No | 61c | 103.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.11 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 42c | 99.9$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95d4…839abacked Yes | 41c | 96.92$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 281 | 19.9%56 W · 225 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…7379backed Yes | 41c | 92.35$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.84 | 456 | 19.1%87 W · 369 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 35c | 91.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 61c | 91.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…5f37backed Yes | 42c | 84.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.81 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 57c | 76.24$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 39c | 76.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.69 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…b73fbacked Yes | 80c | 69.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 181 | 64.1%116 W · 65 L | +29.3wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 36c | 67.81$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.56 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 49c | 66.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.94 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…16a5backed Yes | 30c | 66.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.17 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…0247backed No | 59c | 64.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…bf33backed No | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x356b…1c3fbacked Yes | 38c | 59.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 591 | 25.9%153 W · 438 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5644…ecbbbacked Yes | 37c | 59.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 237 | 38%90 W · 147 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…1b6fbacked Yes | 44c | 58.93$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf4…c6ccbacked Yes | 48c | 58.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb869…a2acbacked No | 60c | 55.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…8dccbacked Yes | 49c | 54.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…5c20backed Yes | 40c | 53.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 1,787 | 25.7%460 W · 1,327 L | +132.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…9144backed Yes | 29c | 53.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…2fa9backed Yes | 49c | 52.76$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed Yes | 40c | 52.13$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 37c | 52.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…54c9backed No | 59c | 51.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 45c | 49.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…0ef1backed Yes | 39c | 49.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 33c | 47.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9c…e014backed Yes | 38c | 45.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 258 | 39.9%103 W · 155 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 70c | 44.34$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…8f47backed Yes | 46c | 43.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 45c | 41.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 30c | 41.92$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 64c | 40.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 39c | 40.17$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb964…927fbacked Yes | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 183 | 27.3%50 W · 133 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 40c | 39.67$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.68 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…6719backed Yes | 37c | 37.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 920 | 28.7%264 W · 656 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed Yes | 28c | 36.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 45c | 35.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.41 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3011…add7backed No | 57c | 32.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b48…fcf0backed Yes | 44c | 31.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +56%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a23…184abacked No | 51c | 31.49$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…401ebacked Yes | 42c | 29.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 67c | 29.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…0ed9backed Yes | 42c | 28.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…043abacked No | 52c | 28.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 40c | 28.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f98…e397backed No | 67c | 27.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 331 | 54.4%180 W · 151 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 77c | 27.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…0beabacked Yes | 39c | 27.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…fd22backed No | 68c | 27.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 64c | 26.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcafd…b861backed No | 62c | 26.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 72 | 72.2%52 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked Yes | 39c | 26.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…7852backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25a…31c4backed Yes | 42c | 24.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0af…e734backed No | 60c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x796a…e815backed Yes | 46c | 24.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…1f1abacked Yes | 42c | 23.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4f…ac4bbacked No | 62c | 23.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…cd72backed No | 54c | 23.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9bc…e46bbacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffd…e7c6backed No | 55c | 18.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 516 | 31.6%163 W · 353 L | -29.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4be0…c37dbacked No | 61c | 17.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 190 | 58.9%112 W · 78 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 79c | 14.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or below on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.