Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x109c804892188dcf8c5019bf76433e7f01e819f2207335ec3f43868c5f89b0d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,162
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,716
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,162 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16f…2badbacked Yes | 35c | 538.36$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.95 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb7…6f27backed Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 600 | 4.2%25 W · 575 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 24c | 320.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.48 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 66c | 303$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 45c | 258.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.91 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5499…cf6dbacked Yes | 60c | 244.74$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 250 | 37.6%94 W · 156 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 73c | 165.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 71c | 163.79$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 34c | 154.91$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 61c | 144.22$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 26c | 141.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 36c | 124.66$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 38c | 115.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 48c | 106.79$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.69 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 102.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 23c | 101.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 44c | 99.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Yes | 55c | 98.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd39…43a8backed Yes | 27c | 96.54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.47 | 123 | 17.9%22 W · 101 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed Yes | 52c | 96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed No | 77c | 94.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 151 | 55.6%84 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked Yes | 26c | 92.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed Yes | 26c | 91.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 53c | 88.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.7 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…5f89backed Yes | 22c | 87.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 949 | 19.7%187 W · 762 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 74c | 84.96$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec8…99d2backed No | 62c | 80.85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.84 | 833 | 60.7%506 W · 327 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a38…16a5backed Yes | 60c | 80.45$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 38c | 76.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff9b…6a02backed Yes | 24c | 75.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 158 | 34.2%54 W · 104 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 73.89$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4204…4637backed Yes | 28c | 73.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe11d…44ecbacked No | 36c | 68.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.71 | 180 | 41.7%75 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 74c | 67.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ba…5f37backed Yes | 41c | 67.96$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 78c | 67.71$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 35c | 66.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 74c | 66.28$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cf…464bbacked Yes | 25c | 64.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 1,115 | 63.4%707 W · 408 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 46c | 62.17$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…cd72backed Yes | 24c | 60.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 72 | 66.7%48 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 54c | 58.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.59 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 35c | 58.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 39c | 57.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 48c | 57.91$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…2c8cbacked Yes | 50c | 57.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 576 | 59%340 W · 236 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3c…1b6fbacked Yes | 24c | 56.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 78c | 56.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Yes | 41c | 56.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec4d…087ebacked Yes | 26c | 55.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 75c | 53.36$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c4…2fa9backed Yes | 23c | 52.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e99…b482backed Yes | 40c | 51.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 425 | 44%187 W · 238 L | +15.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…8dccbacked Yes | 29c | 50.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…00c3backed Yes | 23c | 50.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…f822backed Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 194 | 30.4%59 W · 135 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed Yes | 27c | 48.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…8f47backed No | 50c | 47.48$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9660…8bb6backed Yes | 45c | 47.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 74c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 61c | 44.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 43.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 76c | 40.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0461…fcbcbacked No | 58c | 39.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 724 | 66.2%479 W · 245 L | +33.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd01…d8cdbacked No | 76c | 39.19$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 332 | 43.1%143 W · 189 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 59c | 37.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 76c | 36.76$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c24…81e9backed No | 45c | 35.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae8f…c820backed Yes | 44c | 34.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 635 | 38.1%242 W · 393 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…f86dbacked Yes | 56c | 34.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 70c | 33.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…7217backed Yes | 50c | 33.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 42c | 33.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 62c | 30.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 80c | 30.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 41c | 30.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3543…c63fbacked Yes | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…8012backed Yes | 38c | 29.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8288…4c83backed Yes | 64c | 28.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27fb…3f5ebacked No | 56c | 27.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…9f65backed Yes | 54c | 26.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 558 | 55.2%308 W · 250 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 42c | 25.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 62c | 24.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…6055backed No | 43c | 23.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 75c | 22.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…7080backed No | 67c | 22.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.58 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…64f4backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef98…b586backed No | 61c | 21.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 907 | 34.5%313 W · 594 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f3…d427backed No | 70c | 21.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 326 | 69%225 W · 101 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1e…9095backed No | 72c | 20.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 173 | 76.3%132 W · 41 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 74c | 20.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1f…5154backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b81abacked No | 65c | 19.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 53c | 19.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.15 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…9bedbacked No | 63c | 18.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.99 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfabc…7178backed No | 77c | 17.18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 91 | 76.9%70 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 74cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 59c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on April 13?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C or higher on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C or below on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.