Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x494ed10817b0f859cbf3300aa02f6c1a5f8d1cc5865f700a9e590ed73f92bd10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,506
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,506 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50fc…935bbacked No | 1c | 1,938$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 49c | 462.28$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.56 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 324.15$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.97 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 23c | 276.32$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…573fbacked No | 66c | 240.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.92 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 38c | 229.97$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.08 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 33c | 199.38$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 69c | 177.57$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 57c | 171.44$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.42 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 69c | 168.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.79 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3a…8daabacked No | 48c | 135.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.89 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 52c | 129.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.55 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 41c | 126.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 62c | 125.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.19 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 48c | 124.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b24…1586backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 72c | 115.35$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 43c | 115.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.27 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 35c | 107.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.64 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 72c | 101.72$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 60c | 99.6$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked No | 47c | 94.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.76 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 65c | 91.69$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…890cbacked Yes | 58c | 86.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.11 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 18c | 83.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 30c | 83.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.94 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 65c | 80.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 29c | 79.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8f…2f50backed No | 66c | 77.28$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 33c | 75.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.12 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 74.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.14 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 73.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…effbbacked No | 64c | 70.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.19 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 71c | 70.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 72c | 68.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 35c | 67.95$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 39c | 67.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 52c | 65.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 61c | 63.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.23 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…0abbbacked Yes | 63c | 61.36$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 189 | 48.1%91 W · 98 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…1071backed Yes | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 71c | 58.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.66 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3b…2eb3backed No | 43c | 58.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.98 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 41c | 57.41$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 62c | 57$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 33c | 56.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 33c | 55.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75d4…fa02backed No | 40c | 55.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe4…d1c0backed Yes | 52c | 55.32$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 43c | 54.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 57c | 53.59$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff7…fb8bbacked Yes | 33c | 51.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 513 | 21.2%109 W · 404 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1098…10a7backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 417 | 33.8%141 W · 276 L | -17.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 33c | 49.92$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 35c | 49.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x843d…89bcbacked Yes | 63c | 49.2$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed No | 60c | 47.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 72c | 46.53$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea0d…c1b6backed No | 65c | 46.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 216 | 76.4%165 W · 51 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 72c | 45.69$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed Yes | 38c | 43.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 71c | 43.76$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…0c43backed Yes | 32c | 43.17$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 24c | 43.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 462 | 32.9%152 W · 310 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9631…a38cbacked Yes | 27c | 42.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 497 | 50.3%250 W · 247 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…7ce5backed Yes | 29c | 41.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 59c | 40.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 38c | 39.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.7 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…020fbacked Yes | 35c | 38.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 38c | 38.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…befcbacked Yes | 43c | 37.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…2ea5backed Yes | 39c | 36.28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…fcacbacked No | 67c | 35.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7453…aee6backed Yes | 38c | 35.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 35c | 34.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 41c | 34.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 72c | 34.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e23…bedcbacked No | 58c | 34.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1685…97abbacked No | 42c | 33.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…e027backed No | 60c | 33.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 71c | 32.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 39c | 32.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…2957backed Yes | 58c | 32.26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 67c | 31.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…bcebbacked Yes | 34c | 31.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…0195backed Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…9d2ebacked No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 61c | 29.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…6fe7backed Yes | 37c | 28.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.82 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb67…970abacked Yes | 70c | 27.71$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3401backed Yes | 70c | 27.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 274 | 63.9%175 W · 99 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 69cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf211…385dbacked No | 72c | 26.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb2…14d6backed No | 60c | 24.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -8.6wins | -0.11per pick | 66cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e5…86f4backed Yes | 46c | 24.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked Yes | 64c | 24.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed No | 64c | 23.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…59babacked Yes | 43c | 23.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.