Tennis · resolved market
Santa Cruz: Hugo Dellien vs Juan Estevez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a58c80a1280a470126ff933a76a1e570752857abf5cf7638ddc39c23745396b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Dellienof Hugo Dellien, Juan Estevez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Juan Estevez | 3c | 13,767$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.25 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Juan Estevez | 17c | 10,538$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.8 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Estevez | 0c | 6,318$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Juan Estevez | 16c | 5,824$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.44 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Juan Estevez | 17c | 4,053$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.36 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Estevez | 9c | 1,049$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.89 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e4…7310backed Juan Estevez | 18c | 760.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Juan Estevez | 19c | 576.07$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Juan Estevez | 17c | 572.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.05 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Juan Estevez | 10c | 459.57$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.96 | 1,228 | 41.1%505 W · 723 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Juan Estevez | 17c | 451.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.79 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Juan Estevez | 7c | 390.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 646 | 37.2%240 W · 406 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Juan Estevez | 21c | 305.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.06 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked Juan Estevez | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 102 | 8.8%9 W · 93 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…01bfbacked Juan Estevez | 22c | 297.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Juan Estevez | 17c | 294$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Hugo Dellien | 78c | 290.98$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Juan Estevez | 19c | 286.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.13 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Juan Estevez | 19c | 275.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.14 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…b7c8backed Hugo Dellien | 74c | 266.05$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Estevez | 10c | 238.01$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Hugo Dellien | 80c | 199.79$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.96 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Juan Estevez | 18c | 176.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.71 | 659 | 52.5%346 W · 313 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Hugo Dellien | 80c | 175.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abf…8dd3backed Juan Estevez | 17c | 160.88$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Estevez | 17c | 144.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Juan Estevez | 18c | 116.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Juan Estevez | 34c | 114.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Hugo Dellien | 79c | 110.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 820 | 55%451 W · 369 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3597…3e48backed Juan Estevez | 18c | 110.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 150 | 58.7%88 W · 62 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed Juan Estevez | 18c | 109.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Juan Estevez | 18c | 100.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 567 | 44.6%253 W · 314 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked Juan Estevez | 20c | 91.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Juan Estevez | 20c | 88.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Juan Estevez | 21c | 78.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Juan Estevez | 18c | 76.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed Juan Estevez | 14c | 73.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 203 | 31%63 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb5…f531backed Hugo Dellien | 74c | 66.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Juan Estevez | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…527abacked Juan Estevez | 20c | 59.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Juan Estevez | 23c | 52.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Juan Estevez | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Hugo Dellien | 80c | 48.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cff…83c4backed Hugo Dellien | 79c | 44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 276 | 64.1%177 W · 99 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb1…c96ebacked Juan Estevez | 29c | 40.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Hugo Dellien | 80c | 30.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c1…e5adbacked Hugo Dellien | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Hugo Dellien | 77c | 26.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Hugo Dellien | 70c | 21.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e8…1ea1backed Hugo Dellien | 73c | 16.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.