TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Nacional de Football win on 2026-04-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,500
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,500 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes44c85,340$37,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,882.4929446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No56c33,925$18,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,997.926355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No56c13,265$7,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,474.018,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No56c10,137$5,715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,715.3665058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No52c4,690$2,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,453.11,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No56c3,379$1,905 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,905.2841256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No56c3,374$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.2357157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No56c3,374$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.2347756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed No51c2,948$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,504.468351.8%43 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No46c2,809$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,296.75,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Yes49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Yes49c1,946$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000.972100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No56c1,386$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.0511856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes49c1,009$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.922,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb94…7bc0backed No56c969.99$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.991464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+26.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No51c921.03$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.723,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No56c899.71$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8436757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No56c899.71$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.8415956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes49c847.18$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.062941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No8c745.18$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.473,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked No56c647.2$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.4326160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes46c631.04$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.763762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No55c573.66$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.171,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed No56c505.79$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2416759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc905…850bbacked Yes48c504.02$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.817852.6%41 W · 37 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes48c500.87$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.621546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No56c379.53$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.5447758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes36c347.29$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.3184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0da9…bb10backed Yes79c312.97$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9055…12cebacked Yes36c300$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1929428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Yes54c293.85$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.525145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No51c225.08$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.061,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked No5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Yes48c199.99$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10417560.6%106 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yes49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.94753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43ce…c264backed Yes49c197.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.97732.5%25 W · 52 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No50c194$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed No52c181.12$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2811763.2%74 W · 43 L+9.7wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No53c179.78$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2821345.1%96 W · 117 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3663657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed No56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.3616160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde58…b901backed No56c173.77$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.31560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes45c155.66$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.8894848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0722…fceebacked No52c150.57$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.31361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked No56c149.47$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.329056.7%51 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No52c140.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9621349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No56c135.82$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0618154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes48c129$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.542,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No53c118.86$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.691,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed No56c105.88$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.294465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes46c102.1$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.144452.3%23 W · 21 L+6.3wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4133745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes59c97.54$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a6…b7dcbacked No55c97.3$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dfd…aadebacked No56c88.6$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.618350.6%42 W · 41 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-22.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6844959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked No56c86.93$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.685660.7%34 W · 22 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xef5c…6ababacked No56c86.69$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.596274.2%46 W · 16 L+8.7wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+19.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No49c85.43$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8629053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed No57c72.68$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1415457.1%88 W · 66 L-0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No56c69.13$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7118859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked No16c66.38$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3224654.9%135 W · 111 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3169…6dccbacked No52c65$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.753033.3%10 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Yes50c61.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.565168.6%35 W · 16 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No24c60.02$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.411,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4748…9666backed Yes49c59.79$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.494738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.19340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes46c52.59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.411849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…86dbbacked No56c50.63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.357867.9%53 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3d4…6297backed No33c50.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.893638.9%14 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No56c46.23$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.0120958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked No56c43.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8dc…8d7ebacked Yes47c38.72$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.711747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Yes41c38.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8633658.3%196 W · 140 L+32.4wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes39c37.04$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.481520%3 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57c8…3d9bbacked No59c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.76529.2%19 W · 46 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.717950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57c3…44b8backed Yes42c29.88$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.334242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed Yes53c28.31$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3121266.5%141 W · 71 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dc9…264abacked Yes53c27.38$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.88250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No51c27.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7967548%324 W · 351 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe941…a496backed No56c26.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.875865.5%38 W · 20 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes70c24.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.211,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked No56c23.37$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0910654.7%58 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb5…a518backed Yes51c20.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.918155.6%45 W · 36 L-3.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9744…cab4backed No56c19.19$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.81968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b2…dcc5backed No54c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.