Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20bfe68fa67baea75d9ec5e6e52f675cfaa666b5caefee4718780f9476233d85
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,618
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50fc…935bbacked No | 0c | 3,408$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…1e16backed No | 62c | 586.98$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.16 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 74c | 336.9$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.67 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 38c | 314.07$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.99 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 38c | 305.37$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.91 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…e01dbacked No | 16c | 291.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 1,032 | 24.3%251 W · 781 L | +40.9wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0a…5f98backed Yes | 41c | 265.16$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.52 | 395 | 35.4%140 W · 255 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 22c | 254.03$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5680…7f79backed Yes | 56c | 234.01$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcc…b908backed No | 43c | 217.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.41 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df9…effbbacked No | 67c | 200.12$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 116 | 59.5%69 W · 47 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 43c | 199.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 41c | 199.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.59 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 76c | 197.7$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed No | 23c | 191.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…abbabacked Yes | 64c | 182.8$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 36c | 176.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.22 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 73c | 171.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 75c | 163.86$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 29c | 160.05$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.06 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3c…eba1backed No | 18c | 159.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.55 | 134 | 53.7%72 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 26c | 154.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 30c | 147.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked Yes | 46c | 133.92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.67 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 79c | 133.83$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.68 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d3…3f0ebacked No | 62c | 133$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 55c | 129.36$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.17 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 14c | 123.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309c…09b5backed No | 48c | 110.43$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.45 | 288 | 39.9%115 W · 173 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe418…f304backed Yes | 65c | 110$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa998…6421backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76a6…b7dcbacked No | 64c | 96.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 148 | 34.5%51 W · 97 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…4e36backed Yes | 47c | 91.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.93 | 197 | 72.6%143 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…07a5backed No | 27c | 87.38$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 247 | 68.4%169 W · 78 L | +12.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 33c | 85.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 42c | 83.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac5…c9a6backed No | 34c | 79.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 47c | 78.91$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7754…278dbacked No | 28c | 77.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x58e6…9ac7backed Yes | 74c | 73.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.06 | 197 | 53.8%106 W · 91 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…41a5backed No | 23c | 72.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf31…454abacked No | 56c | 72.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.73 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6517…573fbacked No | 48c | 70.05$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 38c | 65.39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 47c | 64.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.25 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…0ef1backed Yes | 46c | 64.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.42 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe70f…4306backed No | 59c | 62.8$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef3…ac46backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 48c | 59.7$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.27 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 40c | 54.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…6465backed No | 46c | 54.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 375 | 33.6%126 W · 249 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 38c | 54.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked No | 57c | 51.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 54c | 50.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 49.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e9…0beabacked Yes | 42c | 49.56$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ae…890cbacked Yes | 70c | 49.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 77c | 49.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5ed…8b4bbacked Yes | 48c | 49.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.68 | 112 | 23.2%26 W · 86 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 67c | 49.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9003…4c59backed Yes | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2347…5adfbacked No | 62c | 48.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 119 | 38.7%46 W · 73 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 40c | 47.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7e…c08ebacked No | 67c | 46.19$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.94 | 570 | 38.1%217 W · 353 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 54c | 45.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…875bbacked No | 60c | 43.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4973…5527backed Yes | 77c | 40.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 300 | 46.7%140 W · 160 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7944…8861backed Yes | 71c | 40.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036d…e888backed Yes | 61c | 40.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 78 | 71.8%56 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7453…aee6backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…bbccbacked No | 36c | 39.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…d968backed Yes | 44c | 39.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x600c…8bd4backed Yes | 49c | 39.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 69c | 39.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e3…fcacbacked No | 62c | 38.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 53c | 38.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64a6…4ac1backed No | 50c | 38.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171c…942dbacked No | 53c | 37.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb26d…039fbacked Yes | 56c | 37.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc342…c744backed No | 59c | 37.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.07 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d45…020fbacked Yes | 38c | 36.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…9ef7backed No | 52c | 35.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 49c | 34.74$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 49c | 34.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b3…16a2backed Yes | 37c | 34.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed Yes | 50c | 33.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 232 | 41.8%97 W · 135 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 47c | 32.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7293…98e8backed Yes | 45c | 31.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 57c | 31.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd835…59babacked Yes | 53c | 31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c28…0d2abacked No | 57c | 30.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14ea…998bbacked No | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 58c | 29.73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 73c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa972…40c2backed No | 51c | 29.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.92 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 63c | 28.89$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…c6fbbacked Yes | 67c | 28.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 13?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 13?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.