NFL · resolved market
Will Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x14d4a908263d68f2bb0dfbce4c2a118859f9fc62d0a3d763dd083e62efffed1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,072
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,072 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6891…1146backed Yes | 18c | 572$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 18c | 557$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.74 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +200%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 18c | 547$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 6c | 437.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +227.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes | 7c | 424.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.38 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 14c | 78.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 62 | 30.6%19 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 51c | 59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +17.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd8…1450backed Yes | 32c | 49.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7501…9edbbacked No | 79c | 48.66$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2148…d0a7backed No | 66c | 41.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 28c | 38.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…ff75backed Yes | 32c | 31.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +121.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Yes | 42c | 29$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 66c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -10.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | -12.1wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e4b…a994backed Yes | 51c | 20.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…5f1fbacked No | 78c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kirk Cousins play for Las Vegas Raiders in 2026-27?this page
- Will Kirk Cousins play for Atlanta Falcons in 2026-27?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins play for Chicago Bears in 2026-27?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins play for Detroit Lions in 2026-27?No won
- Will Kirk Cousins play for Seattle Seahawks in 2026-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.