Earnings · resolved market
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32f744a45c646d04a65563af38a30c34a147cf1c898035a953a49d0cd0660e37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,479
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4430…215ebacked No | 0c | 7,748$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed No | 15c | 2,293$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.81 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed No | 14c | 1,082$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.77 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked No | 5c | 1,032$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.58 | 139 | 32.4%45 W · 94 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…6082backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 12c | 834$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed No | 9c | 799.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…70a6backed No | 8c | 765.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +170%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked No | 6c | 670$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 15c | 621.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.37 | 332 | 25%83 W · 249 L | -9.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…9a3bbacked No | 15c | 597.67$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +352%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…bda0backed No | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 78c | 397.09$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed No | 13c | 363.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 19c | 274.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.56 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 6c | 265.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 39 | 15.4%6 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 73c | 264.65$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.22 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 16c | 240.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 316 | 29.4%93 W · 223 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeec…a303backed No | 34c | 217.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa802…23dfbacked No | 22c | 170.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.03 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 8c | 166.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3e…21cdbacked No | 24c | 165.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…30f2backed No | 18c | 165.26$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 78c | 154.45$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb09e…8211backed No | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8755…6700backed No | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a15…cf1abacked No | 11c | 132.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc4…b05abacked No | 18c | 127.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…6167backed No | 16c | 123.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6c…1f67backed No | 14c | 120$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 9c | 119.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 18c | 112.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 18c | 108.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 464 | 14.2%66 W · 398 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f90…1d49backed No | 14c | 103.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3925…c094backed No | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…07b6backed No | 30c | 83.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 81.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…3115backed No | 16c | 69.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f52…43debacked No | 21c | 65.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…153cbacked No | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…dd34backed Yes | 79c | 53.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 157 | 65%102 W · 55 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x211f…8e0fbacked Yes | 79c | 50.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.33 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…7651backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0948…61a4backed Yes | 75c | 44.2$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23ca…9ae6backed Yes | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 98 | 66.3%65 W · 33 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 71c | 19.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.73 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…3f02backed Yes | 78c | 18.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.