Earnings · resolved market
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45d4499655b14d7df52b843c971ae2b6ebbd30bd9a88325e2c063950c0ab8e66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,619
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,524
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,619 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf116…246abacked Yes | 2c | 10,516$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 46c | 8,581$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,642.52 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 71c | 7,250$5,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,104.81 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +11.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed Yes | 3c | 6,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…9024backed Yes | 55c | 5,860$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.39 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe40…30f2backed No | 13c | 4,823$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,202.76 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…4f31backed No | 14c | 3,056$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,641.51 | 356 | 35.1%125 W · 231 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked No | 18c | 2,872$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,365.53 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 60c | 2,290$1,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,381.09 | 29 | 89.7%26 W · 3 L | +7.2wins | +0.25per pick | 65cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa52d…faefbacked Yes | 2c | 2,200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3d…684dbacked No | 10c | 2,009$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.37 | 119 | 25.2%30 W · 89 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked Yes | 27c | 2,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 134 | 32.8%44 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…b97dbacked Yes | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed No | 73c | 1,976$1,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.94 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 65c | 1,791$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.66 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6866…464dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,671$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…dc80backed Yes | 18c | 1,451$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 23cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe056…8120backed No | 32c | 1,428$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.86 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfce…80c7backed No | 76c | 1,329$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.67 | 344 | 37.2%128 W · 216 L | +22.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…efc0backed Yes | 47c | 1,302$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…d8c8backed Yes | 4c | 1,275$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab0f…709ebacked No | 76c | 1,143$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c10…336cbacked No | 35c | 1,097$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.83 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed No | 22c | 1,010$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.27 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…ad18backed No | 4c | 999.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.02 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 17cpaid | +309.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked No | 13c | 932.3$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +54%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53b5…508ebacked No | 28c | 906.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +262.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4afd…1241backed No | 8c | 900$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.5 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x271b…ba02backed Yes | 17c | 892.49$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb905…1640backed Yes | 64c | 869.99$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e88…301cbacked No | 79c | 859.59$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.75 | 471 | 38.6%182 W · 289 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd976…0aa2backed Yes | 6c | 849.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…775cbacked No | 15c | 841.28$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 76c | 816.87$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed5…83efbacked No | 13c | 793.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.18 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 45c | 792.52$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.92 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 14c | 789.85$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.36 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +165.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0448…8986backed Yes | 3c | 789.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed No | 44c | 751.48$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.04 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…2969backed No | 10c | 598.38$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.59 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77dd…fc49backed No | 11c | 543.09$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.31per pick | 14cpaid | +265%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 524.94$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed No | 7c | 461.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.53 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…7690backed Yes | 56c | 417$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.1 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 6c | 409.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 3cpaid | +410.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…451cbacked No | 4c | 409.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.45 | 171 | 37.4%64 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 402.53$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.52 | 290 | 24.1%70 W · 220 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 45c | 366.4$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.95 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -44%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf45f…2634backed No | 16c | 361.95$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +541.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…53b0backed Yes | 59c | 341.7$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b4…03bcbacked Yes | 49c | 334.07$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 17c | 331.92$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.69 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9788…47b1backed No | 62c | 320.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb01…02e5backed No | 4c | 317.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 15cpaid | +717.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4497…8c81backed No | 3c | 315.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.61 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb65…3115backed No | 5c | 315.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.11 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030e…5652backed Yes | 69c | 294.71$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…b7b8backed No | 57c | 293.2$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…dbd6backed No | 7c | 284.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.44 | 303 | 15.2%46 W · 257 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…5ebdbacked Yes | 71c | 280.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4670…5f1cbacked No | 39c | 271.52$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.77 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 44c | 269.53$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…15a9backed Yes | 70c | 261.66$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed Yes | 78c | 259.3$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ecc…0b6dbacked Yes | 16c | 259.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa0…3895backed Yes | 45c | 252$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.97 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +102.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…d658backed Yes | 66c | 247.82$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…7fecbacked No | 15c | 241.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +580.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…486ebacked Yes | 46c | 217.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9551…8c45backed No | 53c | 215.64$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 53c | 210.01$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…8ccebacked Yes | 7c | 209.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…9747backed Yes | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…9a3bbacked Yes | 61c | 186.34$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +352%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 36c | 186.34$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.97 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b2…e278backed No | 54c | 186.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9346…ea03backed Yes | 64c | 162.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed No | 9c | 162.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.75 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…e862backed No | 21c | 159.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.77 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 9c | 150$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.35 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec0c…8589backed Yes | 42c | 149$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5c…8fcfbacked Yes | 72c | 146.38$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…5c46backed No | 15c | 143.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +585.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked No | 47c | 143.07$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.19 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b22…754cbacked No | 11c | 131.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +335.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 9c | 120$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 10cpaid | +266.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x935e…f456backed Yes | 77c | 116$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.26 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…b14bbacked Yes | 44c | 114.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 45c | 110$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2406…2dd1backed Yes | 46c | 107.85$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c53…f1c1backed Yes | 49c | 107.38$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…4044backed Yes | 40c | 107.35$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked Yes | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.31 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…ce75backed Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbf…3faebacked No | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 19cpaid | +267.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699b…db49backed No | 28c | 99.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…153cbacked No | 12c | 96.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x513e…b09cbacked No | 35c | 95.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.61 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 18cpaid | -83%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.