TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$401,828

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,828 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Under50c83,459$41,954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,954.3844452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c32,738$16,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,594.422,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf40…87debacked Over51c30,728$15,661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,066.413850%19 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under24c24,470$5,982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,982.0425145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Over75c21,508$16,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,419.243053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under50c19,980$9,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,989.98148.1%39 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over50c15,012$7,491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,521.2639454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over50c10,149$5,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,077.436944.2%163 W · 206 L-19.0wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Under50c7,930$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96518548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc38…1e98backed Over51c7,775$3,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,809.524654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Over50c7,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50010648.1%51 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c6,898$3,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,528.935,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over57c6,863$3,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,926.41,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under50c6,106$3,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,053.0523243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x656f…76b9backed Under50c5,001$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under49c4,746$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,325.764348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over76c4,601$3,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.124,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04013343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x200e…4048backed Over49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0402035%7 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c3,688$1,922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.193,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc002…6f57backed Over51c3,439$1,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,685.111250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6a7…0af9backed Over49c3,400$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,7341850%9 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e7a…1eecbacked Over49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5304744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over53c2,809$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.12445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Over49c2,700$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3771957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+35.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c2,374$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.8114447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf52b…905bbacked Under53c2,244$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.541947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Over49c2,022$992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.178444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over50c2,010$1,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99518556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1e3f…e00bbacked Under49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9803441.2%14 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5669…e058backed Over49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0204854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed Under52c1,983$1,021 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0217450%37 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c1,887$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.081,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x622e…07abbacked Over62c1,752$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.594040%16 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over49c1,737$852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885.0112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under51c1,647$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.7718048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under49c1,560$762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76216341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under44c1,478$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.6821646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Under1c1,300$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1690%0 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Under40c1,264$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.82142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Over69c1,249$867 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.712,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Over65c1,235$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.435143.1%22 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Over49c1,150$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.5560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under50c1,088$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.0874152.6%390 W · 351 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Under4c1,050$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422010%2 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-68.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51011542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Under49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4909839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6440…85e2backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd3…de97backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5102356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x201a…66a8backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5004337.2%16 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1e2…fee7backed Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8735…41bbbacked Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcbcc…edc9backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5003775.7%28 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d2a…9ee3backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-34.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Under3c1,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ec4…b8e5backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda71…799dbacked Over49c1,000$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5101450%7 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…b78ebacked Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x675f…3a5abacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d7c…3e7abacked Under51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-31.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6586…c69cbacked Under49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x126d…f863backed Over50c999.15$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.582646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over50c991.25$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.6342948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under52c868.95$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.8515858.2%92 W · 66 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under50c855.1$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.555942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ec…759fbacked Under1c842.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.43140%0 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Under50c789.31$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.555749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a45…1405backed Over50c748.66$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.944953.1%26 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Over58c743.61$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.362250%11 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006a…14edbacked Over67c730.57$489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.093372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over48c700$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36416147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c648.5$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.045,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x733b…0268backed Over49c602$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.021154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under52c571.88$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.381,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25091848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Over76c496.81$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.231872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick51cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Over76c487.45$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.9919147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over49c473.3$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.3429650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over62c468.68$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.12661.5%16 W · 10 L+4.9wins+0.19per pick43cpaid+33.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under47c457.32$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.9452843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5741…fb99backed Under36c452.67$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.672540%10 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over60c446.19$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2364647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Over51c446.06$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.5717051.2%87 W · 83 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under40c421.61$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.7710437.5%39 W · 65 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Over61c419.45$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7516054.4%87 W · 73 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Under3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121020%2 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick2cpaid+900%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2271…8170backed Under52c396.51$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.182236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Over51c396.5$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.292948.3%14 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x771d…e0ebbacked Over51c388.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.48977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.24per pick54cpaid+47.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Under49c384.65$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.482147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Over51c344.96$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.035350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…c650backed Over52c332.99$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.838845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.9wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc825…4530backed Over49c332.42$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.531844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-13.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa05…fed7backed Over68c329.96$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.632268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Under50c297.38$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.695350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Under50c291.18$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.023748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under39c267.9$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7535338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a8d…150bbacked Under38c260.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.181650%8 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under49c247.81$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.4316546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.