Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x540a250499c4f11d604d3b97d190ce78700c9f4aa1be9491bdec82d1b139d422
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Boilermakersof Purdue Boilermakers, Miami Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,204
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,204 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 11,203$5,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,951.75 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 10,554$5,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,650.38 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 45c | 4,844$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640.09 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 3,989$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,098.67 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 2,985$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,576.31 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Purdue Boilermakers | 46c | 2,184$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.33 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Purdue Boilermakers | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe74a…f1bfbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 985.84$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Miami Hurricanes | 50c | 980.15$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.07 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf4…66bbbacked Miami Hurricanes | 55c | 752.15$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.69 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Purdue Boilermakers | 53c | 634.13$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Miami Hurricanes | 49c | 603.19$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.74 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Purdue Boilermakers | 46c | 575.76$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.22 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Purdue Boilermakers | 45c | 500$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Purdue Boilermakers | 45c | 499.98$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.99 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 495.65$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.65 | 170 | 51.2%87 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Miami Hurricanes | 55c | 360.49$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.27 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…1787backed Miami Hurricanes | 56c | 358.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.47 | 164 | 45.1%74 W · 90 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Miami Hurricanes | 52c | 211.6$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.03 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Miami Hurricanes | 56c | 180.43$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.03 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23f5…5ef2backed Miami Hurricanes | 56c | 178.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 165.71$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.53 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…3c41backed Miami Hurricanes | 55c | 162.67$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.47 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 157$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a1…e6d5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 155.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 118.04$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.74 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 55c | 115.36$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.45 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 101$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.47 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 100.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Purdue Boilermakers | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 383 | 45.4%174 W · 209 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 80.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…1218backed Miami Hurricanes | 60c | 72.72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 89 | 53.9%48 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 63.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Purdue Boilermakers | 39c | 62.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Purdue Boilermakers | 49c | 61.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.21 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 55.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.63 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 46c | 53.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.09 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 51.47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 50.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Purdue Boilermakers | 58c | 49.57$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Purdue Boilermakers | 46c | 43.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Purdue Boilermakers | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Purdue Boilermakers | 59c | 39.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 39.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Purdue Boilermakers | 34c | 38.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Miami Hurricanes | 55c | 36.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb90…1917backed Purdue Boilermakers | 46c | 33.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.05 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…cef5backed Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 31.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ba…8497backed Purdue Boilermakers | 47c | 31.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Purdue Boilermakers | 48c | 30.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 29.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Purdue Boilermakers | 50c | 25.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a0…8024backed Miami Hurricanes | 54c | 24.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Purdue Boilermakers | 46c | 23.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 20.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…9212backed Miami Hurricanes | 74c | 20.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd45…a81dbacked Miami Hurricanes | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.1wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)this page
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue BoilermakersPurdue Boilermakers won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 146.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 147.5Over won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 148.5Under won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 151.5Under won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 152.5Under won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 155.5Under won
- Miami Hurricanes vs. Purdue Boilermakers: O/U 156.5Under won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-4.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
- Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-9.5)Purdue Boilermakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.