Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53b4393c32493a897fcbd40d70cf277bf3cf42b51eeac47cbb05d03bf19262d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,305
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,305 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 10c | 484.47$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 37c | 394.6$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 60c | 385.04$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.75 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 30c | 311.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.76 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…b254backed Yes | 36c | 269.64$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.29 | 598 | 18.4%110 W · 488 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 5c | 241.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 812 | 34.1%277 W · 535 L | +56.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6987…846bbacked Yes | 69c | 224.94$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…5c5cbacked Yes | 23c | 220.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9c…7e2fbacked No | 70c | 219.02$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd26…5b5cbacked Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 58c | 178.23$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked Yes | 19c | 173.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Yes | 9c | 165.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.07 | 328 | 18.3%60 W · 268 L | +15.8wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa322…dd03backed Yes | 30c | 154.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.61 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…076abacked Yes | 53c | 150.77$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -74.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 144.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 15c | 138.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 39c | 128.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…a3ddbacked Yes | 46c | 124.39$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 70c | 123.81$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…7935backed No | 46c | 102.8$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc40a…aa48backed No | 65c | 101.71$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef3…f1c5backed Yes | 65c | 101.67$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 324 | 44.4%144 W · 180 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2967…4ae7backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 257 | 25.7%66 W · 191 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff2…9070backed Yes | 76c | 97.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 62c | 91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 68c | 87.94$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 47c | 82.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 36c | 79.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2018…640abacked Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f4…5d3dbacked Yes | 65c | 75.85$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 71cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fb…3fadbacked Yes | 43c | 73.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a1…3840backed Yes | 37c | 73$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 1,153 | 27.1%312 W · 841 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 45c | 72.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 539 | 25.6%138 W · 401 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…4676backed Yes | 69c | 72.89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 48c | 72.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2205…8089backed No | 74c | 71.09$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 290 | 56.2%163 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 42c | 70.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…9a5cbacked No | 44c | 67.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Yes | 74c | 67.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked No | 32c | 66.68$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed Yes | 33c | 61.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 42c | 61.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 36c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x59d4…b745backed Yes | 66c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 275 | 40%110 W · 165 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3681…4e48backed No | 63c | 58.61$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.87 | 1,375 | 56%770 W · 605 L | +25.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x302c…108abacked Yes | 43c | 58.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65df…6144backed Yes | 20c | 56.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 66c | 56$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7908…4f35backed Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…10efbacked Yes | 55c | 54.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…fc2ebacked Yes | 43c | 53.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cc…f3e5backed Yes | 28c | 52.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca5…32bebacked Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…6a16backed Yes | 30c | 49.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5580…8029backed Yes | 62c | 48.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 45.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…fc88backed Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cf…66c3backed No | 28c | 45.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80f5…2b27backed Yes | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 314 | 42.4%133 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96a…1377backed No | 67c | 44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 541 | 43.6%236 W · 305 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b24…6e4abacked No | 30c | 42.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc279…7023backed No | 58c | 41.58$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3064…641abacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6160…fdfcbacked No | 35c | 39.02$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 44c | 38.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 56c | 37.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.61 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4d…507fbacked Yes | 30c | 37.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 37.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56b…06b7backed No | 71c | 35.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…0439backed Yes | 32c | 35.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 57c | 34.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…2ab8backed No | 37c | 34.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed Yes | 32c | 33.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce2…80edbacked Yes | 34c | 32.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 78c | 32.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…994dbacked Yes | 51c | 30.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 166 | 34.9%58 W · 108 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 76c | 30.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7d…eb79backed Yes | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bba6backed No | 35c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 122 | 23%28 W · 94 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb957…b8acbacked Yes | 53c | 28.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 47c | 28.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 54c | 27.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d6…e222backed No | 58c | 27.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf6…87f6backed Yes | 42c | 25.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba8…8d3cbacked No | 55c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 67c | 24.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…41dfbacked No | 70c | 23.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e4…eec0backed Yes | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 62cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56b3…3fa2backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 895 | 44.7%400 W · 495 L | +30.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c99…3cc4backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3487…11f5backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd05…0e6ebacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 77 | 67.5%52 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6526…9c80backed Yes | 55c | 19.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 68c | 19.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 66c | 18.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed No | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on March 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 73°F or below on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on March 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on March 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.