Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Adrian Mannarino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85a1593a57ce22cefe0e4f506acc748a8483443f6350c3c6f34e0f708d0b854a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tommy Paulof Tommy Paul, Adrian Mannarino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $211,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,827 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Adrian Mannarino | 10c | 9,916$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.34 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Adrian Mannarino | 27c | 9,084$2,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 8,711$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.66 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…af00backed Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 8,200$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tommy Paul | 59c | 7,009$4,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.94 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Tommy Paul | 80c | 5,000$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 442 | 63.6%281 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Tommy Paul | 45c | 4,892$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,680.81 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tommy Paul | 70c | 4,058$2,852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.75 | 259 | 57.5%149 W · 110 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 3,591$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185.17 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 3,118$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.16 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 3,065$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Adrian Mannarino | 35c | 2,391$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$842.3 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1efc…1a6bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 2,282$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.32 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Tommy Paul | 64c | 2,085$1,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.35 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Tommy Paul | 71c | 2,017$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.86 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Tommy Paul | 80c | 1,995$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.02 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Tommy Paul | 53c | 1,943$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.92 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 1,600$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 152 | 44.1%67 W · 85 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Tommy Paul | 32c | 1,565$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.49 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 1,540$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.54 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf54c…e6ccbacked Tommy Paul | 17c | 1,453$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.72 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 1,250$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.51 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Adrian Mannarino | 7c | 1,050$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 1,001$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Adrian Mannarino | 1c | 1,000$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Adrian Mannarino | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Tommy Paul | 78c | 944.65$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.42 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Tommy Paul | 53c | 859$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.77 | 373 | 42.6%159 W · 214 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 858.68$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Tommy Paul | 63c | 843.21$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.4 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Adrian Mannarino | 60c | 821.01$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.08 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 75c | 804.01$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.45 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 799.99$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 404 | 44.1%178 W · 226 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d76…9168backed Adrian Mannarino | 74c | 783.2$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.83 | 375 | 40.8%153 W · 222 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…1e38backed Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 721.1$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 692.88$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 148 | 48.6%72 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Tommy Paul | 30c | 673.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.43 | 521 | 33%172 W · 349 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Tommy Paul | 23c | 629.76$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.69 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…5916backed Tommy Paul | 30c | 617.1$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.1 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 612$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.4 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e59…1520backed Tommy Paul | 30c | 607.35$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.57 | 307 | 44.6%137 W · 170 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Adrian Mannarino | 34c | 589.99$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.81 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Tommy Paul | 79c | 564.92$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.63 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Adrian Mannarino | 16c | 508.12$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.38 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Tommy Paul | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Tommy Paul | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9a…e165backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 468.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Tommy Paul | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tommy Paul | 78c | 449$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.78 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x201f…a96bbacked Adrian Mannarino | 72c | 448.92$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.22 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Tommy Paul | 80c | 444$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.8 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…4392backed Adrian Mannarino | 34c | 436.85$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.53 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa24…b2b4backed Adrian Mannarino | 32c | 434.16$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.93 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Adrian Mannarino | 63c | 431.31$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.73 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Adrian Mannarino | 19c | 416.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 734 | 53%389 W · 345 L | +36.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Adrian Mannarino | 32c | 407.75$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…841dbacked Adrian Mannarino | 9c | 399.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 101 | 22.8%23 W · 78 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Tommy Paul | 55c | 384.27$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 238 | 65.5%156 W · 82 L | +31.3wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +20%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Adrian Mannarino | 33c | 383.27$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.52 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Adrian Mannarino | 22c | 377.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad9…c300backed Tommy Paul | 79c | 353.08$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.15 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Adrian Mannarino | 24c | 350$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 1,904 | 44.1%839 W · 1,065 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…e3c9backed Adrian Mannarino | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tommy Paul | 56c | 342.78$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.44 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 341$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc8e…f961backed Adrian Mannarino | 30c | 307.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.25 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Adrian Mannarino | 58c | 300$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 707 | 52.8%373 W · 334 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tommy Paul | 38c | 295.2$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Adrian Mannarino | 43c | 287.61$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.25 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef6…e31abacked Tommy Paul | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Adrian Mannarino | 7c | 270$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 708 | 29.1%206 W · 502 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1650…42f6backed Adrian Mannarino | 26c | 265.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Adrian Mannarino | 39c | 261.12$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.85 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…e2afbacked Adrian Mannarino | 6c | 258.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Adrian Mannarino | 54c | 252$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…3397backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 43.8%187 W · 240 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…beeabacked Tommy Paul | 63c | 223.81$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Tommy Paul | 75c | 223.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4739…a1c1backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 219.48$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 226 | 42%95 W · 131 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Tommy Paul | 80c | 209.5$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…e260backed Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Adrian Mannarino | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Adrian Mannarino | 17c | 197.15$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Tommy Paul | 43c | 193.59$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.67 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Tommy Paul | 59c | 191$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Adrian Mannarino | 54c | 185.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 183.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed Adrian Mannarino | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -9.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 177$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 173.58$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 1,504 | 35.1%528 W · 976 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Adrian Mannarino | 21c | 169.91$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Adrian Mannarino | 71c | 167.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.28 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Tommy Paul | 18c | 163.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.58 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x471c…3b43backed Adrian Mannarino | 31c | 152.28$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 175 | 49.7%87 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Tommy Paul | 79c | 150$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,754 | 49.1%862 W · 892 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fa…f25ebacked Adrian Mannarino | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open: Tommy Paul vs Adrian Mannarinothis page
- Set Handicap: Paul (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5)Mannarino won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.