TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Karolina Muchova vs Camila Osorio

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Karolina Muchovaof Karolina Muchova, Camila Osorio
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$254,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $254,211 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 186 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Camila Osorio31c13,733$4,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,304.872,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Karolina Muchova72c13,587$9,842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,744.966,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Camila Osorio22c13,278$2,946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,945.9380938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Camila Osorio30c10,422$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1607,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2a…ca1bbacked Karolina Muchova66c8,727$5,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,940.22580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+27.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x713b…ee60backed Camila Osorio35c7,432$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6005628.6%16 W · 40 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Karolina Muchova55c6,000$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,671.3744360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4ee…47c8backed Karolina Muchova78c5,395$4,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.120261.4%124 W · 78 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Camila Osorio29c4,923$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.478,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Karolina Muchova65c4,359$2,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.536968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Camila Osorio18c3,531$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64024438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Karolina Muchova74c3,208$2,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.0727063.7%172 W · 98 L-0.8wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Karolina Muchova67c2,972$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.0544754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x237e…a5f0backed Camila Osorio29c2,525$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.5219938.2%76 W · 123 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Karolina Muchova65c2,428$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.582,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Camila Osorio29c2,117$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.512,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60fc…03b0backed Karolina Muchova47c2,107$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.825745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Camila Osorio14c2,073$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28528724.4%70 W · 217 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab0…ddd0backed Karolina Muchova77c1,936$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.327064.3%45 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Camila Osorio31c1,872$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.3950731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd785…0d7ebacked Karolina Muchova65c1,385$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.6242558.8%250 W · 175 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Karolina Muchova74c1,351$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.952774.1%20 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Camila Osorio25c1,345$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7546932%150 W · 319 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Karolina Muchova46c1,325$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.781,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Camila Osorio28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28042839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c1…7fbebacked Karolina Muchova73c963.93$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.9328247.9%135 W · 147 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Karolina Muchova52c881.65$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.879453.2%50 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Camila Osorio43c859.77$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36715826.6%42 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Camila Osorio33c849.24$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.9111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5243…d41abacked Camila Osorio17c848$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.231118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick38cpaid-38.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Camila Osorio13c808.28$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0966139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Karolina Muchova57c800$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.1344038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Camila Osorio25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4951…3038backed Karolina Muchova76c781.58$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.589656.3%54 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Karolina Muchova70c767.33$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.336553.8%35 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Camila Osorio28c766.45$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.052,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Camila Osorio26c719.03$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.422,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Camila Osorio31c709.65$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.9921720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Camila Osorio26c700$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1801,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Camila Osorio21c690.82$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.0524637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Karolina Muchova49c615.51$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.5168350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Camila Osorio26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked Camila Osorio9c557.22$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5828726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Karolina Muchova68c518.34$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.8748935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Karolina Muchova75c504.37$378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.091,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb69f…d51cbacked Camila Osorio25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12514752.4%77 W · 70 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Camila Osorio24c499.98$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.991,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4c…8572backed Camila Osorio25c499.96$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9923429.1%68 W · 166 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Karolina Muchova70c499.89$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.382,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Karolina Muchova80c499.61$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0121448.1%103 W · 111 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x34f6…eab4backed Camila Osorio40c499.43$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.882634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Karolina Muchova66c464.76$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.0230744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb06…4ababacked Karolina Muchova72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6728754%155 W · 132 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Camila Osorio26c408$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.111,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Karolina Muchova69c400$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1242548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Karolina Muchova65c378.91$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.6235247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9cab…8228backed Camila Osorio13c351.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443116.1%5 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-43.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5db0…73f1backed Karolina Muchova80c340.5$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.116558.8%97 W · 68 L-0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Camila Osorio22c330.5$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.056,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd30…c3a0backed Camila Osorio25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Camila Osorio33c269.71$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.334,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked Karolina Muchova76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1615762.4%98 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Karolina Muchova76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.1684857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Karolina Muchova77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Karolina Muchova79c258$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.234744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Karolina Muchova77c223.53$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.5335164.1%225 W · 126 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Camila Osorio24c215.7$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7786835.4%307 W · 561 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Camila Osorio34c213.99$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.851,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Karolina Muchova68c207.34$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.7418548.6%90 W · 95 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Karolina Muchova79c202$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.9426941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Camila Osorio21c200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4258021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea6…0890backed Camila Osorio22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447724.7%19 W · 58 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Karolina Muchova68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Camila Osorio29c196.21$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.089,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88e4…e2afbacked Camila Osorio12c194.93$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.24425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-46.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Camila Osorio37c170$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.5225743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Camila Osorio52c165.58$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.124350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Karolina Muchova76c164.47$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.4726759.6%159 W · 108 L-1.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Camila Osorio31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Karolina Muchova77c155.84$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.841,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Karolina Muchova65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8557349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Karolina Muchova75c150.87$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7248453.7%260 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Camila Osorio25c150$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.51,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xebe2…e4d2backed Camila Osorio32c143$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.764729.8%14 W · 33 L-9.7wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-44.4%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Camila Osorio21c138.1$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb1a…0b60backed Camila Osorio24c135.37$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.494047.5%19 W · 21 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick33cpaid+34.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Camila Osorio26c133$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.581,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4739…a1c1backed Camila Osorio58c132.79$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0222642%95 W · 131 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Karolina Muchova74c132.5$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4551849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e53…d1fdbacked Karolina Muchova76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.584772.3%34 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd52…07aabacked Karolina Muchova77c130.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1516762.9%105 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Karolina Muchova75c130$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.51,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73d0…fa43backed Karolina Muchova48c122.92$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9210832.4%35 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Camila Osorio26c117$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0969249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Karolina Muchova78c114.24$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.139833.7%33 W · 65 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Camila Osorio22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60bd…2469backed Camila Osorio14c110$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.15150%0 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Camila Osorio23c110$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.314746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Karolina Muchova75c106.28$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.573545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…b875backed Karolina Muchova76c105.58$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5871165.1%463 W · 248 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.