TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$497,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,027 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed Under52c181,375$94,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,475.4260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over48c135,000$64,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70,2001,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under50c116,551$58,418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,418.4143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c81,446$40,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,843.031,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over49c22,435$10,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,458.644,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Over47c19,198$9,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,174.842161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+29.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c14,681$7,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,566.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Under50c10,000$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,949.996654.5%36 W · 30 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed Under52c8,167$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,275.1427455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Over48c7,928$3,767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,161.152356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over48c7,410$3,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,853.231644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over48c7,060$3,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,673.3535744.3%158 W · 199 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over51c6,897$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,379.531,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x269c…9017backed Under53c6,295$3,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,323.38953.9%48 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Over47c6,257$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,306.6516249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Under53c5,549$2,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,940.941,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over48c5,523$2,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,871.9625049.2%123 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under53c4,760$2,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,514.531,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over47c4,200$1,974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,22637755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Over49c4,107$2,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.699952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under52c4,000$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,08079549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over48c3,706$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.2518749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under53c3,378$1,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,790.471654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c3,038$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,620.25,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Over46c3,000$1,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6206357.1%36 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca40…83f6backed Under51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,529.9912945.7%59 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over48c2,905$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.893,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under53c2,614$1,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,385.6658953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x515f…7e7fbacked Over47c2,516$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,325.444639.1%18 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-20.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under15c2,322$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.128,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over48c2,304$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.0632150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over47c2,015$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,059.1717144.4%76 W · 95 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7595…50ffbacked Over50c1,985$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.1311156.8%63 W · 48 L+8.9wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over47c1,916$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.482,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked Under53c1,783$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.6730453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c1,757$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.693,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c1,704$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.884,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Over48c1,660$797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.231643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c1,642$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.972,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under51c1,362$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697.112,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Under54c1,348$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.4889853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over48c1,316$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.373,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69ac…03e9backed Under53c1,285$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.227948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c1,131$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.0770246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over46c973.99$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.962,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under53c941.18$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50057650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Over49c918.37$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.3718842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under54c900.99$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.4526756.2%150 W · 117 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Under53c900$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47725155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Over49c896.41$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.5358450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Under54c824.37$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.4848751.7%252 W · 235 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over50c716.51$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.412,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35049345.2%223 W · 270 L-14.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under14c694.94$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7927937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked Over52c673.08$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.0818748.1%90 W · 97 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Over51c665$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.853737.8%14 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick33cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcd8…9908backed Under52c662.25$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.0222552.4%118 W · 107 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under50c565$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.523850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Over51c533$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.174445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Over51c533$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.173938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Over51c529.41$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.419845.9%45 W · 53 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Under14c509.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3326337.3%98 W · 165 L-1.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under53c471.7$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022953.7%123 W · 106 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Under53c439.82$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.5531354.6%171 W · 142 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Under52c438$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.7214452.1%75 W · 69 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over45c393.74$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.7538853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6292…d254backed Under52c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.820846.6%97 W · 111 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under54c373.82$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.8692058%534 W · 386 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under49c355.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.4434851.7%180 W · 168 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x695c…85ddbacked Under53c351.66$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.891855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under4c323.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3211942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over47c316.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.9366046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under53c278.21$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.451,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Over49c261.22$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.2224849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94c4…2a41backed Under54c257.42$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9522953.3%122 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbce5…cc57backed Under53c235.29$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.754763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Over80c225.2$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.026147.5%29 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over46c222.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.312,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Under53c201.48$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.418342.2%35 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf112…d9e1backed Over46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1087536%27 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10495651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10016947.3%80 W · 89 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Under53c190.92$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3630654.6%167 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under53c188.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019054.7%104 W · 86 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb92b…cc3fbacked Under54c177.34$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.273253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under22c176.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.482,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfab0…e0f5backed Under53c174.75$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.628658.1%50 W · 36 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Over47c173.48$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7912446.8%58 W · 66 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over78c167.25$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2490357%515 W · 388 L+40.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under53c164.72$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.176342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under53c163.88$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8725049.6%124 W · 126 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over51c163$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.8777549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Under53c162.44$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.325153.8%135 W · 116 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Under20c157.36$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.038353%44 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under55c150.9$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.481,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under51c150$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over45c136.68$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.171,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over51c136$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6413148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Over51c136$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.646653%35 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over51c133$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1793145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.