TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$370,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $370,407 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f45…a321backed Under50c177,426$89,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89,381.351540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over50c134,153$66,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,626.081,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under49c97,506$47,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,607.1143542.8%186 W · 249 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over50c50,594$25,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,291.374,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over52c35,200$18,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,747.991,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over50c34,787$17,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,557.231,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Under51c30,251$15,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,426.7920545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,00058449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over49c9,504$4,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,847.0431644.6%141 W · 175 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c6,311$3,174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,174.414,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over51c6,135$3,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,013.242,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over49c4,706$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,386.423,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over49c3,960$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,019.624942.2%105 W · 144 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x07d7…cb5abacked Over51c3,334$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,633.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+48%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over50c2,384$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.129,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked Over49c1,980$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.85251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3233…a4ddbacked Over49c1,570$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.72356.5%13 W · 10 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+30.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Over50c1,400$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70016953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over51c1,399$713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.093,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under51c1,255$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.052,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Under52c1,066$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.5335749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Over52c1,041$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.6818345.4%83 W · 100 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…db9dbacked Over53c943.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$443.6820651.5%106 W · 100 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over53c754.72$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.7267252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over49c681.83$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7465349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over49c536$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.3671449.3%352 W · 362 L+2.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over49c523$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.7323850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Over48c441.67$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.673938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed Over56c399.61$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.361580%12 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.17per pick63cpaid+26.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Under3c387.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5611942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8688…a520backed Over48c309.77$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.084847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under47c305$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.471,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Over49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15311453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec38…ca10backed Over48c296$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9211050.9%56 W · 54 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over50c268$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13477549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Over49c263$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.1316845.2%76 W · 92 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under50c202.52$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.262,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over53c197.48$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.8489048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e2…6bf6backed Over51c196$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.04333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3138152.8%201 W · 180 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Over53c162.72$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4833837.3%126 W · 212 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Over49c151$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.0128852.1%150 W · 138 L+1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77a7…bb11backed Over49c151$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.015054%27 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Over49c151$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.016653%35 W · 31 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over47c150.15$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over53c146.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5167248.8%328 W · 344 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Over50c144.92$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5142352.5%222 W · 201 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed Over50c135$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.513950.4%70 W · 69 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Over50c135$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.513148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d24…9c89backed Over50c135$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.518744.4%83 W · 104 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Under22c129.73$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.881,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7583…0469backed Over49c122.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.456550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Over51c102.66$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5038853.4%207 W · 181 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.041,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5247738.2%182 W · 295 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b89…f3a9backed Over53c98.12$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.126344.4%28 W · 35 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.3497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c84…ac9abacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc55d…ad0cbacked Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.631353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over62c81.23$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2369049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9223657.2%135 W · 101 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Over52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.927847.4%37 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Over51c75.1$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371,32249.9%660 W · 662 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over49c67.22$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2855347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Over48c67.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.613857.2%79 W · 59 L+13.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7133…69d6backed Over49c62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.6210744.9%48 W · 59 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3095260.2%573 W · 379 L+37.0wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked Over51c58.82$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.8211447.4%54 W · 60 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbde2…3fcfbacked Over51c58.06$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.588956.2%50 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Over50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2814753.7%79 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x669d…3a77backed Over51c55$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.957856.4%44 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7492…6568backed Over48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0831955.2%176 W · 143 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Under32c51.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.451,03647.6%493 W · 543 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…6807backed Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.54452.3%23 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Over48c45.83$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.831,44458.1%839 W · 605 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e8…50c2backed Over74c45.09$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.675651.8%29 W · 27 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over49c41.13$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0313954%75 W · 64 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2225…1838backed Over49c40.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.828652.3%45 W · 41 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00e…73fabacked Under50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016951.5%87 W · 82 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under49c39.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2895047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x341b…b92cbacked Under53c39.17$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.768344.6%37 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x084c…7544backed Under47c35.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.739345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c3…6031backed Under52c34.38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.883145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c33.33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3334854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc03a…d7c4backed Under50c32.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.366342.9%27 W · 36 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Over49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3240048.3%193 W · 207 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1536153.5%193 W · 168 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0c5…b613backed Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1520249%99 W · 103 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Over49c29.02$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.88353%44 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under51c26.45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.431,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x290e…0783backed Over47c25.52$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.536949.3%34 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Over51c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.325153.8%135 W · 116 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38fb…f59abacked Over49c23.55$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.01966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x277f…5f26backed Over48c23.13$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.03771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+40.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Over51c22.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2413253.8%71 W · 61 L+0.5wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.