TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Spread: 76ers (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Jazz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$639,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $639,254 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed 76ers51c417,186$210,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206,383.045154.9%28 W · 23 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Jazz49c140,252$68,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68,723.6966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz49c117,389$58,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,066.244,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz50c100,000$50,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,0002,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz49c30,964$15,093 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,092.729,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed 76ers51c30,537$15,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,916.987451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Jazz50c29,311$14,691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,690.581,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8230…5121backed Jazz9c27,391$2,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,346.3620837.5%78 W · 130 L+38.2wins+0.18per pick19cpaid+115.2%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed 76ers51c22,541$11,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,044.8960351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jazz49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,8002,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc03…1548backed Jazz51c11,425$5,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,789.39427.1%3 W · 39 L-8.1wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-86.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Jazz55c9,444$5,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,229.954,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bc0…4429backed Jazz51c7,681$3,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,917.1448343.7%211 W · 272 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers54c6,513$3,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.961,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Jazz52c6,000$3,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,105.981,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Jazz49c5,393$2,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,657.833,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed 76ers45c4,746$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,589.918,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd7e7…fef1backed Jazz2c4,543$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.279046.7%42 W · 48 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Jazz49c4,490$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,20033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc540…f7e5backed Jazz49c4,490$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2001741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers49c3,689$1,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,866.334,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Jazz49c2,840$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.92,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Jazz50c2,738$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3691,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Jazz50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2501,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked 76ers49c2,459$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,247.84,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Jazz49c2,100$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0398747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed 76ers50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf05c…66b9backed Jazz2c2,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40100%0 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed 76ers49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02072241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed 76ers49c1,994$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed 76ers49c1,906$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$972.1270246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Jazz53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90146145.6%210 W · 251 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked 76ers52c1,566$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.6835749.6%177 W · 180 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Jazz48c1,562$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.7628554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Jazz49c1,526$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.173,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed 76ers50c1,436$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71858347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Jazz50c1,280$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6402,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Jazz47c1,155$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.831,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed 76ers44c1,138$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.162,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed 76ers44c1,110$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.61,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked 76ers44c1,110$488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.695651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc51a…a0d9backed 76ers53c1,079$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.1327455.5%152 W · 122 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbce5…02f1backed 76ers48c1,050$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54618651.6%96 W · 90 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8735…41bbbacked Jazz2c1,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Jazz1c999.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13802.5%2 W · 78 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-88.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed 76ers49c907.48$445 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.811,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked 76ers40c800$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4805234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed 76ers44c787.57$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.542,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Jazz52c770.19$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xacb6…e3bbbacked Jazz52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4006266.1%41 W · 21 L+9.0wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Jazz60c744.35$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.172,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Jazz16c657.99$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.2624044.6%107 W · 133 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe21e…f216backed 76ers49c657.12$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.1212058.3%70 W · 50 L+11.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Jazz52c624.08$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.445151.4%232 W · 219 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Jazz49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Jazz49c608.64$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2242153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb03c…b352backed 76ers50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3005341.5%22 W · 31 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Jazz2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125416.7%9 W · 45 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Jazz9c598.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9997049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33e…855fbacked 76ers53c586.09$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.465352.8%28 W · 25 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Jazz52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b23…1448backed 76ers52c562.92$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.211250%56 W · 56 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers46c536.44$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.961,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed 76ers50c532$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26647651.7%246 W · 230 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Jazz47c439.92$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.7620537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Jazz52c400.46$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.22,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked 76ers77c382.84$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.4521640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed 76ers49c381.66$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.6528058.2%163 W · 117 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed 76ers53c378.21$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.211,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 76ers43c375.2$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.13,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Jazz48c363.48$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.911,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Jazz47c358.32$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.0922154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c52…5859backed Jazz53c356.24$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.163026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jazz46c329.35$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.51,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked 76ers41c297.72$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.354951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Jazz51c288.24$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14721550.2%108 W · 107 L-0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Jazz30c267.29$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1511942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4786…ff95backed 76ers70c263.66$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.122646.9%106 W · 120 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Jazz49c250$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.52,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Jazz20c244.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8660250.5%304 W · 298 L+14.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed 76ers50c241.26$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.6320154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x727b…0426backed 76ers50c236.99$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.953839.5%15 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Jazz48c226.15$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5552052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x950d…328dbacked Jazz51c218.37$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9510…16dfbacked 76ers52c216.2$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7830453.3%162 W · 142 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b88…c46bbacked Jazz51c211.73$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d1c…f1c8backed Jazz51c209.55$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8643…a9ffbacked 76ers50c206.36$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b6e…8b4bbacked 76ers50c205.58$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf724…2e81backed Jazz51c205.25$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf59…646dbacked 76ers50c205.14$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2de4…da40backed 76ers50c202.36$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c4…2fd3backed 76ers50c201.28$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b3…db07backed 76ers50c201.26$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b8f…46dcbacked 76ers50c200.38$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed 76ers49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10238242.9%164 W · 218 L-11.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6447…5c72backed Jazz51c196.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked 76ers55c196.27$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3215857%90 W · 68 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9be4…942fbacked Jazz51c195.94$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed 76ers54c190.25$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9357650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.