NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d2449595f026050d00a77be7713235798cc99d1a6476e319a8dd39b5ee95fcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,253
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,253 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 53c | 10,872$5,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,762.16 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 8,756$4,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,726.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 47c | 6,764$3,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.82 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 47c | 4,276$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,269.72 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 53c | 4,180$2,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.37 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 57c | 1,765$1,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.12 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…e1a1backed Under | 16c | 638.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 96 | 63.5%61 W · 35 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 54c | 597.57$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.69 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 57c | 403.51$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 54c | 361.98$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.47 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under | 56c | 323.29$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.04 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Under | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 54c | 279.06$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.69 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 10c | 196.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 54.7%104 W · 86 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Under | 13c | 178$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 56c | 150.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 54c | 138.48$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.78 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Over | 45c | 136$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 43c | 132.82$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.71 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Under | 57c | 132.82$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.71 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xec38…ca10backed Over | 44c | 117$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 18c | 89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 56c | 74.09$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.73 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Under | 54c | 64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 236 | 55.5%131 W · 105 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41c0…9d61backed Under | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 121 | 55.4%67 W · 54 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6598…5f36backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 54c | 41.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Under | 54c | 41.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 54c | 30.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa657…1b1fbacked Under | 50c | 28.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Under | 55c | 26.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.38 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Under | 55c | 20.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Under | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 267 | 56.2%150 W · 117 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 55c | 18.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Jazz won
- 76ers vs. Jazz76ers won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Over won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.