NBA · resolved market
76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf4d1a5ecadaa7d384af1edf865c705089d7bac2bf458b90dbadcf058d33eecaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,073 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 4,548$1,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,560.59 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 56c | 3,683$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.34 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Over | 46c | 3,189$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 57c | 2,125$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.25 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 45c | 2,020$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.78 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Over | 72c | 1,816$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.08 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 47c | 1,621$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.28 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 80c | 1,420$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.18 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Over | 45c | 1,309$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.96 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 28c | 1,181$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5d…e82ebacked Under | 62c | 1,125$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 1,101$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.69 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 41c | 1,054$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.09 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 40c | 1,035$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Under | 60c | 870$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522 | 487 | 51.7%252 W · 235 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 58c | 870$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.6 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 57c | 804.35$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.48 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f7…32aabacked Over | 72c | 792.75$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.11 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30e…7c7abacked Over | 43c | 618.6$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 30c | 561.24$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.37 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 42c | 523.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.81 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 194 | 32%62 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 43c | 423.86$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.08 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 12c | 373.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.54 | 279 | 37.3%104 W · 175 L | +57.6wins | +0.21per pick | 17cpaid | +187%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…ad0cbacked Under | 28c | 360$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…9a2bbacked Under | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f45…ab6abacked Under | 12c | 330.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 21c | 318.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.93 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Under | 14c | 305.7$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 33c | 302.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 954 | 52.3%499 W · 455 L | -17.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 25c | 280$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 57c | 233$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.81 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 42c | 209.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.78 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 67c | 189.35$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.24 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 57c | 157.88$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Under | 52c | 152.69$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 39c | 150.14$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.58 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…adf9backed Over | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…4176backed Over | 45c | 147$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 63c | 137.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.54 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 24c | 124.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 44c | 120.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9dc…038ebacked Over | 43c | 109.86$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…ac80backed Under | 14c | 108.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 48c | 96.16$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Under | 20c | 87.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.54 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 80c | 87.13$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.43 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 79c | 71.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.35 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 54c | 70.37$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 56c | 69.64$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 45c | 67.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…f724backed Under | 57c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under | 57c | 58.07$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.1 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Over | 73c | 57.38$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 361 | 54.8%198 W · 163 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9786…b15cbacked Over | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Under | 26c | 40.15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 46c | 38.87$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…f846backed Under | 39c | 38.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Over | 47c | 34.35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.26 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 48c | 33.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Over | 76c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 75c | 31.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 520 | 53.3%277 W · 243 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 44c | 29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf12…cbd9backed Under | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under | 57c | 24.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9be6…b8b2backed Under | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…3c70backed Under | 55c | 24.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed Over | 76c | 24.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 148 | 60.1%89 W · 59 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed1…0d39backed Under | 56c | 22.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d46…93d0backed Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x720f…592cbacked Under | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 55c | 19.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…c72abacked Under | 62c | 19.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Under | 57c | 19.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Under | 58c | 18.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: 76ers (-2.5)Jazz won
- 76ers vs. Jazz76ers won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: 1H MoneylineJazz won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 117.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 230.5Over won
- 76ers vs. Jazz: O/U 231.5Over won
- Quentin Grimes: Points O/U 22.5Yes won
- Spread: 76ers (-5.5)76ers won
- Spread: 76ers (-6.5)76ers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.