Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion: Lautaro Midon vs Jaime Faria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeba419255314de1e704613b5ff8643f8682d758bea925748ff8c9cc96990e131
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lautaro Midonof Lautaro Midon, Jaime Faria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,148 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x713b…ee60backed Lautaro Midon | 37c | 5,368$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.58 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jaime Faria | 62c | 2,294$1,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.07 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Lautaro Midon | 42c | 1,597$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.62 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jaime Faria | 13c | 1,288$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Jaime Faria | 56c | 1,067$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.01 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Jaime Faria | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 138 | 9.4%13 W · 125 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80ef…3973backed Jaime Faria | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Jaime Faria | 19c | 772.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Jaime Faria | 3c | 699.97$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 118 | 26.3%31 W · 87 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Jaime Faria | 66c | 606.05$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jaime Faria | 34c | 578.62$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.34 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lautaro Midon | 56c | 563.46$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.65 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Lautaro Midon | 30c | 538.28$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.8 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Jaime Faria | 59c | 360.84$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.55 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jaime Faria | 14c | 336.51$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Lautaro Midon | 34c | 307$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.62 | 203 | 36%73 W · 130 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Lautaro Midon | 30c | 301.55$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jaime Faria | 69c | 283.58$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.67 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Jaime Faria | 61c | 274$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Jaime Faria | 55c | 270$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.37 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jaime Faria | 61c | 263$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.61 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…4f54backed Lautaro Midon | 45c | 219.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 263 | 49.4%130 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jaime Faria | 66c | 210.75$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.68 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac9…cf1abacked Jaime Faria | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 402 | 64.4%259 W · 143 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f6…b8c6backed Jaime Faria | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 38.3%51 W · 82 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Lautaro Midon | 54c | 190.38$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lautaro Midon | 76c | 180.46$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Jaime Faria | 67c | 171.64$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 478 | 52.1%249 W · 229 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Jaime Faria | 17c | 149.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Lautaro Midon | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Jaime Faria | 68c | 147$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Jaime Faria | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,187 | 62.8%746 W · 441 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Jaime Faria | 18c | 144.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Lautaro Midon | 51c | 143.41$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Jaime Faria | 67c | 135.19$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jaime Faria | 61c | 121$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jaime Faria | 33c | 120.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.78 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jaime Faria | 50c | 119.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Jaime Faria | 9c | 117$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jaime Faria | 62c | 93.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.73 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Jaime Faria | 31c | 84.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lautaro Midon | 51c | 82.79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lautaro Midon | 34c | 80$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Lautaro Midon | 33c | 78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.26 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jaime Faria | 24c | 77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Jaime Faria | 68c | 74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.32 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lautaro Midon | 43c | 61.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aec…6e19backed Lautaro Midon | 48c | 61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Jaime Faria | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Jaime Faria | 63c | 59.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Jaime Faria | 67c | 59.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Jaime Faria | 56c | 55.98$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,085 | 73.7%800 W · 285 L | +40.8wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lautaro Midon | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lautaro Midon | 32c | 49.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.47 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4378…5bb8backed Jaime Faria | 52c | 48.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Jaime Faria | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Lautaro Midon | 44c | 43.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lautaro Midon | 31c | 43.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Jaime Faria | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Jaime Faria | 65c | 35.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,926 | 55.4%1,067 W · 859 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lautaro Midon | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88e4…e2afbacked Lautaro Midon | 47c | 33.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jaime Faria | 61c | 32.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Jaime Faria | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Jaime Faria | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb324…4944backed Jaime Faria | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Jaime Faria | 68c | 22.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a4…3926backed Jaime Faria | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 594 | 66.7%396 W · 198 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Jaime Faria | 65c | 21.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 349 | 50.4%176 W · 173 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…3780backed Jaime Faria | 67c | 16.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 151 | 63.6%96 W · 55 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Asuncion: Lautaro Midon vs Jaime Fariathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Midon vs FariaMidon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.