South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x065d76efcf509f9a0104fc32802df73bb4b0c3be62d02270ebd8d0a9c930501b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,416 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 19c | 1,549$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 5c | 1,488$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.14 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 80c | 574.74$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.95 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 20c | 534.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 165 | 34.5%57 W · 108 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7030…195ebacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 2c | 495.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 46 | 13%6 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 19c | 489.51$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 6c | 455.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 12c | 426.41$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yes | 9c | 388$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.06 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 17c | 291$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.16 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 4c | 279.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 79c | 207$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.47 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa6…3e06backed Yes | 5c | 201$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a5…6834backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 179.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 10c | 134.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.46 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked No | 80c | 125.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 132 | 57.6%76 W · 56 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0673…afabbacked Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…ca52backed Yes | 19c | 113.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 21c | 106.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 80c | 96.4$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaed…88c4backed Yes | 15c | 85.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…fc3fbacked Yes | 20c | 65.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4313…306abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc13…5eb6backed No | 80c | 44.72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 80cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 79c | 37.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 80c | 36.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 77c | 30.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…3db9backed No | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 78c | 17.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 77c | 16.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed No | 80c | 14.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Vitória win on 2026-03-19?this page
- Will Grêmio FBPA vs. EC Vitória end in a draw?No won
- Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.