TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$285,114

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $285,114 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes43c94,572$41,129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,129.2915647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked No57c39,846$22,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,030.582871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No55c33,900$18,646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,254.59771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No57c13,380$7,627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,753.391668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes43c9,000$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,8704035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Yes43c9,000$3,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,869.992751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No56c7,902$4,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,494.261266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed No58c3,500$2,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4705054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes43c3,100$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.271,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes45c2,855$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.75862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes45c2,507$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.5977751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No58c2,500$1,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0505251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes42c2,193$921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$920.539151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No56c2,000$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8802100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No56c1,987$1,113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.282941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No58c1,788$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.969457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes26c1,580$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.88560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63019657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed No58c1,500$870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6301060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe648…b79abacked Yes45c1,458$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6562227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No58c1,450$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.8897146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No42c1,426$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.2639567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No57c1,404$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.51850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked No37c1,364$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$859.49850%4 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+30.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes44c1,341$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.8542947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes42c1,300$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$544.6315341.2%63 W · 90 L-14.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No57c1,288$731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.7425149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No58c1,275$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.511055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes44c1,090$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.084932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66b6…159dbacked Yes41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No56c795$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.5920648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes42c737$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.523643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No59c712$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.572536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked No56c700$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3086155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked No58c683.81$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.814100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes43c656$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.159652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes45c629.2$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.2247748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No78c548$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.5323548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes42c523.81$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2204459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed No60c515$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.9510249%50 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked No37c500$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3151457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2104456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No58c500$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No58c470$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.44656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Yes43c461$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.5116531.5%52 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes26c384.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002560%15 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No58c368.9$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No59c366.83$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.6168550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed No59c300.12$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.031752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4300…5c69backed Yes45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1353551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes34c298.83$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.221545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No59c293.57$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.633,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed No56c273$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.192857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1058653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No58c250$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1054961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked No56c234.6$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.39944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa04d…1488backed No56c212$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.571450%7 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No58c210$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.29058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed No39c208.38$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.071850%9 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed No40c206$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed No58c193.03$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.076555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No57c190.7$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7613942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x22e6…26efbacked No64c182.71$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.825156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No58c180$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No55c175$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.755257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No58c175$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.55651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No58c160$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.25556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yes43c153.08$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.8239234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698919.1%17 W · 72 L-6.8wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No58c150$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed No60c149.96$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.493148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes26c148.78$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0825652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes42c147.75$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6512451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked No38c141$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.422360.9%14 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.85152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No58c140$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.85046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed No56c138.54$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b7…be96backed No57c137.97$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bd…6cecbacked No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.53759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.513557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No58c125$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.55152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed No58c122$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.241060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4030%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe900…1d32backed Yes43c120.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.45154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No58c120$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.420154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No58c116.7$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.014955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No58c113$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.464052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-14.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No57c112$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.1691553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No56c111$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.845147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No58c109$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.786256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed No58c108.89$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.271747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed No57c106.57$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.83425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fc…04aabacked No58c102.93$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-42.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed No56c102$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.372445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.