Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47a124c0a233c08f2780b10da85cc05bf95126f9745a52f6459a9427ec5a8d73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,513 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 26c | 2,524$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.27 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 35c | 1,568$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.8 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 29c | 1,263$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.67 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 775.67$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.19 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed No | 78c | 770$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.4 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 25c | 722.47$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed No | 76c | 675$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked No | 75c | 608$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 585.3$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.76 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 575.65$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.43 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 71c | 553$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 429$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.41 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 8c | 312.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed No | 79c | 276$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 27c | 266.14$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 28c | 251.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.46 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 25c | 200.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 195.37$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.96 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 60c | 173.84$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.26 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x934c…d02bbacked Yes | 28c | 143$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 80c | 125.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked No | 79c | 112$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 96.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…9c30backed No | 79c | 75$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 20c | 67.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 28c | 64.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 42c | 47.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 28c | 46.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 67c | 45.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…03a8backed No | 77c | 44.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 34c | 43.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked No | 57c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd074…5a54backed No | 66c | 39.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 76c | 36.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked No | 75c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d6…09edbacked No | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed No | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed No | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bad0backed No | 73c | 31.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed No | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 58c | 28.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d75…12a6backed No | 75c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 74c | 16.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…38bfbacked No | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.