Mls · resolved market
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0c1bd25088b5e2903490f6f375a0ed6b7d1e07e029e42e57ead0914623d9975
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,858 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 70c | 8,316$5,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,794.33 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 31c | 6,404$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,404.11 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 3,654$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,521.49 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 2,997$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.35 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 2,789$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,007.55 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 14c | 1,428$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.36 | 154 | 58.4%90 W · 64 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 19c | 1,217$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.78 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 69c | 1,044$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.21 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked No | 63c | 820.91$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.92 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 13c | 770$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.47 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +5.0wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +127.4%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 655.42$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.35 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 32c | 542.83$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.12 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 36c | 524.71$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.9 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 70c | 470$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 34c | 462.86$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.89 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 70c | 401.02$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.71 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 65c | 387.99$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.19 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 382.9$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.44 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x077f…ca20backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 73c | 343.12$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 75cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9df…7104backed Yes | 29c | 340.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 13c | 338.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.77 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 56c | 328.33$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.25 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 62c | 320$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.1 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 37c | 302$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 78c | 275.76$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.22 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 70c | 250$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 31c | 239$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.91 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +5.7wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 15c | 238.56$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.78 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2d…8452backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +119.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed No | 7c | 225$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Yes | 34c | 218$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.91 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 201.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 13c | 192.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.31 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 15c | 166.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 22c | 160.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Yes | 37c | 156$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.28 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 60c | 152.16$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.74 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 69c | 151.58$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 70c | 150$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 56c | 149.6$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.86 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed No | 70c | 142$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 51c | 140.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.86 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 140.71$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed No | 70c | 140$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 125$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.25 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 70c | 125$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 120$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked Yes | 17c | 119.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 60c | 117$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed No | 62c | 115.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 21c | 104.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd01…d95bbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 44c | 91.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.9 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 75c | 84.25$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 73c | 84$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.56 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3d78…a4ccbacked No | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Yes | 35c | 71.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.44 | 178 | 58.4%104 W · 74 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Yes | 80c | 71.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 36c | 70.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.07 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 70c | 70$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 17c | 67.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 65.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 63c | 62.23$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 70c | 60$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 70c | 55$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.5 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…1ad4backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 48.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 23c | 47.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 64c | 47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 75c | 42.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2438…4b60backed Yes | 37c | 41.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…64f0backed Yes | 34c | 38.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed No | 66c | 35$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cbd5backed No | 66c | 31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d9…bad0backed No | 70c | 29.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5558…f9c4backed No | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd985…1125backed No | 70c | 23.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 70c | 20.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 71c | 17.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 307 | 35.2%108 W · 199 L | -32.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed No | 71c | 16.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0c…a98fbacked No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Toronto FC win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Columbus Crew win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will Toronto FC vs. Columbus Crew end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.