La Liga · resolved market
Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fe9c6ea9660b56a6f67704b41b2fede72348b72fc882bf94695fe427a7d4882
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,121 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 0c | 5,092$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed No | 33c | 1,300$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 24c | 1,249$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.23 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked No | 41c | 902.89$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.33 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 51cpaid | -82.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 21c | 735.71$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.47 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cd…3f5bbacked No | 78c | 695.96$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb5…99fabacked Yes | 22c | 695.96$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 80c | 308.7$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.96 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Yes | 66c | 302.91$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.37 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 60c | 247.03$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 233.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.8 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423c…25d5backed No | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 24c | 221.1$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 608 | 32.4%197 W · 411 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 16c | 157.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 33c | 149.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…bea0backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 9c | 144.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed No | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed No | 62c | 128.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 77c | 112.32$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 53c | 62.26$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 79c | 60$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Yes | 61c | 55.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.58 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf18…09a4backed No | 42c | 47.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 50c | 46.39$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb4…9854backed Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +291.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 32.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 59c | 31.76$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 72c | 31.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed No | 78c | 14.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Albacete Balompié win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will Real Racing Club vs. Albacete Balompié end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Racing Club win on 2026-03-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.