NBA · resolved market
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12921e38da38a0e7e6f3429870fba5866d081338420833f0b071f251e9de163e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mavericksof Nuggets, Mavericks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,032 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Mavericks | 53c | 10,066$5,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.5 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Nuggets | 47c | 9,785$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.02 | 247 | 44.1%109 W · 138 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Nuggets | 51c | 7,983$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…42bfbacked Mavericks | 53c | 5,003$2,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,351.43 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…c0abbacked Mavericks | 49c | 2,377$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.49 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks | 50c | 2,239$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.32 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…4d48backed Mavericks | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Nuggets | 45c | 1,470$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.16 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets | 44c | 1,455$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.67 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Mavericks | 54c | 1,370$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.79 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Mavericks | 53c | 1,343$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.18 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Nuggets | 46c | 1,015$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.23 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Nuggets | 47c | 757.15$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.86 | 229 | 45.9%105 W · 124 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks | 49c | 590.59$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.17 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Nuggets | 47c | 564$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.08 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks | 60c | 501.89$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.9 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Mavericks | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Nuggets | 41c | 468.86$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.49 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Nuggets | 46c | 370.43$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.8 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Mavericks | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks | 52c | 330$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.62 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Mavericks | 51c | 316.39$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.39 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets | 40c | 284.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Nuggets | 47c | 212.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Nuggets | 47c | 211.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.28 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Mavericks | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 364 | 50.8%185 W · 179 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nuggets | 45c | 180.76$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.22 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Nuggets | 35c | 145.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Nuggets | 49c | 137.63$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.44 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Nuggets | 47c | 137.63$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Nuggets | 51c | 137$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 136.81$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets | 46c | 134.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdade…8e37backed Mavericks | 54c | 124.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Nuggets | 38c | 120.68$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.12 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a46…196cbacked Nuggets | 47c | 120.31$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Nuggets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Nuggets | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Nuggets | 47c | 102.04$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Mavericks | 51c | 102.03$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Mavericks | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Mavericks | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 387 | 40.3%156 W · 231 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5955backed Mavericks | 52c | 88.63$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Nuggets | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…700bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 85.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Mavericks | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nuggets | 47c | 75.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 572 | 50%286 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Mavericks | 54c | 73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.86 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets | 45c | 68.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Mavericks | 52c | 66.91$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +31%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Nuggets | 41c | 65.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked Nuggets | 48c | 62.53$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 405 | 48.4%196 W · 209 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Nuggets | 48c | 57.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Mavericks | 54c | 55.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Nuggets | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 160 | 46.3%74 W · 86 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Mavericks | 57c | 52.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Nuggets | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Nuggets | 43c | 49.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Nuggets | 46c | 45.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -7.9wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -52%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Mavericks | 56c | 44.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Nuggets | 47c | 42.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 399 | 43.1%172 W · 227 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Mavericks | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 455 | 44.8%204 W · 251 L | +21.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 46c | 39.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc045…4494backed Nuggets | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…a06dbacked Mavericks | 54c | 38.89$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.89 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…027ebacked Nuggets | 47c | 34.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Mavericks | 54c | 34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 404 | 40.1%162 W · 242 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Mavericks | 53c | 33.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Mavericks | 57c | 32.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f4…e04fbacked Nuggets | 43c | 32.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -4.2wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Mavericks | 58c | 31.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed Mavericks | 58c | 30.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Nuggets | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 380 | 48.7%185 W · 195 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Nuggets | 42c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e57…ddc3backed Nuggets | 47c | 29.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Mavericks | 51c | 29.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Mavericks | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Mavericks | 55c | 27.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf624…eae2backed Mavericks | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…da99backed Nuggets | 49c | 26.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a05…7757backed Nuggets | 46c | 24.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca6c…acd8backed Nuggets | 46c | 22.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb7…d873backed Mavericks | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Mavericks | 54c | 20.61$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 193 | 57.5%111 W · 82 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Mavericks | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Nuggets | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd0…f7abbacked Mavericks | 54c | 18.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
- Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 16.5No won
- Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
- Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Mavericks vs. NuggetsNuggets won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 126.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
- Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Over won
- Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
- P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
- Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)Mavericks won
- Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Mavericks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.