NBA · resolved market

Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96eccaa0ba317f22c44d9356617dd7efb94a46380b194fc66e5d59e725ff06e1

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Mavericksof Nuggets, Mavericks
Resolved: Mar 26, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $24,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,992 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6e1e…bb68backed Mavericks	56c	5,393$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,393.34	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Nuggets	39c	3,371$1,298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,297.92	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Mavericks	54c	1,339$727 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.75	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Mavericks	51c	1,189$607 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$582.78	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93e7…cc0cbacked Mavericks	54c	1,000$540 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$460	63	52.4%33 W · 30 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Nuggets	45c	947.33$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.3	277	35%97 W · 180 L	-30.7wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3ede…6c27backed Nuggets	46c	833.34$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.16	451	51.4%232 W · 219 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Nuggets	46c	799.51$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.78	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Mavericks	52c	715.07$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$343.23	1,759	61.7%1,085 W · 674 L	+127.5wins	+0.07per pick	54cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Nuggets	43c	697.67$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Nuggets	42c	675$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.5	547	47.5%260 W · 287 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Mavericks	55c	627.37$347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.16	1,044	47.5%496 W · 548 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Nuggets	48c	625$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x917e…eed9backed Nuggets	44c	600$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261	210	49.5%104 W · 106 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Nuggets	45c	595.46$268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.15	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Mavericks	59c	566.2$334 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.14	1,141	48%548 W · 593 L	+9.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Nuggets	41c	564$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.24	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Nuggets	45c	500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Nuggets	47c	467.77$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.03	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Nuggets	45c	444.44$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	1,259	48.7%613 W · 646 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Nuggets	46c	425$196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.5	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked Nuggets	46c	424$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195.04	176	44.9%79 W · 97 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Nuggets	32c	304.71$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.68	208	38%79 W · 129 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Nuggets	48c	286.27$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.41	786	48.7%383 W · 403 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca22…71a0backed Nuggets	50c	276.41$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.64	71	53.5%38 W · 33 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Mavericks	54c	270.27$145 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.97	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Nuggets	47c	261.09$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.9	1,286	50.8%653 W · 633 L	+11.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mavericks	62c	242.6$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.58	2,949	51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L	+119.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Nuggets	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	298	48%143 W · 155 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Mavericks	54c	227.01$123 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.42	874	53.3%466 W · 408 L	+19.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Mavericks	54c	220$119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$101.2	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Mavericks	53c	208.42$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97.42	205	52.2%107 W · 98 L	+4.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Nuggets	48c	205.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.62	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…25c0backed Nuggets	44c	199.99$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f79…f7f7backed Nuggets	45c	199.98$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.99	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Mavericks	52c	192.31$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.31	381	52.8%201 W · 180 L	+18.2wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Nuggets	42c	183.32$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.09	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Nuggets	34c	167.6$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.08	1,532	42.5%651 W · 881 L	-17.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Nuggets	47c	165.66$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.31	445	51.2%228 W · 217 L	+11.6wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Nuggets	43c	165$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.95	565	47.8%270 W · 295 L	+9.5wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Nuggets	43c	165$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.95	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5955backed Mavericks	56c	164.97$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.83	61	44.3%27 W · 34 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Mavericks	53c	159.99$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$75.2	428	53%227 W · 201 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ac8…9e67backed Nuggets	48c	155$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.4	185	43.2%80 W · 105 L	-7.9wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff7f…bb30backed Nuggets	46c	149.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-6.5wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0c06…bbeebacked Nuggets	46c	149.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	134	48.5%65 W · 69 L	-3.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Nuggets	43c	142.06$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.79	414	49.3%204 W · 210 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Mavericks	55c	132.51$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.26	1,915	49.3%944 W · 971 L	+19.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Nuggets	49c	120.26$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.54	564	47.9%270 W · 294 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Nuggets	44c	113.64$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	970	49.5%480 W · 490 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc480…ae0ebacked Nuggets	50c	110$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	28	50%14 W · 14 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Mavericks	54c	108.7$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.7	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Mavericks	52c	105.2$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.5	1,157	47.9%554 W · 603 L	-19.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Mavericks	60c	102.13$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	870	49.3%429 W · 441 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Mavericks	64c	101.11$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.32	1,036	47.6%493 W · 543 L	+6.7wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Nuggets	46c	100$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.5	686	45.5%312 W · 374 L	-22.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x451f…7301backed Nuggets	48c	100$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	78	53.8%42 W · 36 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Nuggets	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	1,475	51.3%756 W · 719 L	+35.2wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x40d2…312fbacked Nuggets	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	288	52.1%150 W · 138 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Nuggets	45c	99.99$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	533	39.6%211 W · 322 L	-39.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Mavericks	57c	88$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.84	620	49%304 W · 316 L	+4.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0654…f5a9backed Nuggets	45c	86$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.7	94	51.1%48 W · 46 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04b4…8d0bbacked Nuggets	45c	85.49$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.14	572	50%286 W · 286 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7793…33a6backed Mavericks	54c	84.91$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.68	293	44.4%130 W · 163 L	-7.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nuggets	48c	79.27$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.05	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b57…84ebbacked Nuggets	40c	75$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Mavericks	53c	73.68$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.63	920	58%534 W · 386 L	+10.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0141…134fbacked Nuggets	42c	71.92$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.54	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Mavericks	57c	70$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.1	148	44.6%66 W · 82 L	-7.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Mavericks	51c	66.79$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.73	5,844	46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L	+32.7wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75d1…0b9cbacked Nuggets	47c	63.83$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	114	47.4%54 W · 60 L	-6.6wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Nuggets	42c	60$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	596	50.3%300 W · 296 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Nuggets	43c	57.84$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.74	1,283	23.4%300 W · 983 L	-178.2wins	-0.14per pick	37cpaid	-40.2%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Nuggets	47c	57.53$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.04	609	45.8%279 W · 330 L	-17.2wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x810d…6080backed Nuggets	46c	54.49$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.99	160	46.3%74 W · 86 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Mavericks	57c	53$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.79	273	45.1%123 W · 150 L	-8.1wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2841…3c5abacked Nuggets	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	213	49.3%105 W · 108 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83f7…fb38backed Mavericks	56c	45.76$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.13	15	40%6 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Nuggets	30c	42.83$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.85	271	38.7%105 W · 166 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked Nuggets	47c	42.55$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	70	47.1%33 W · 37 L	-3.0wins	-0.04per pick	51cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Nuggets	46c	41.73$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.39	813	49.4%402 W · 411 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Mavericks	56c	41.11$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.93	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Nuggets	48c	40.63$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	1,433	47.2%676 W · 757 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf7…6f57backed Mavericks	53c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.8	302	56.6%171 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x919c…06d8backed Mavericks	61c	39$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.22	198	52%103 W · 95 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Nuggets	48c	38.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.66	462	55.6%257 W · 205 L	+22.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf237…4989backed Mavericks	56c	35.68$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.7	74	50%37 W · 37 L	+3.8wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ac3…c2b6backed Nuggets	45c	33.42$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.93	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-5.4wins	-0.22per pick	47cpaid	-50.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Nuggets	44c	32.64$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.36	509	48.5%247 W · 262 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf624…eae2backed Nuggets	47c	31.91$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-4.1wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x08d1…28adbacked Nuggets	49c	30.62$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…c820backed Nuggets	50c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	22	40.9%9 W · 13 L	+1.7wins	+0.08per pick	33cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a25…bb6bbacked Nuggets	49c	30$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.7	340	47.1%160 W · 180 L	-10.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Nuggets	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	405	48.6%197 W · 208 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Nuggets	51c	29.41$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	41	61%25 W · 16 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa546…603dbacked Mavericks	52c	28.83$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.84	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.18per pick	54cpaid	+36.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Mavericks	53c	28.15$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.11	898	53.1%477 W · 421 L	+21.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Nuggets	40c	27.93$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.28	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e57…ddc3backed Nuggets	44c	27.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4167…f99abacked Nuggets	49c	25.4$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	76	42.1%32 W · 44 L	-4.3wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)this page
1H Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)Nuggets won
Aaron Gordon: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Points O/U 16.5No won
Aaron Gordon: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5Yes won
Daniel Gafford: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
Jamal Murray: Assists O/U 6.5No won
Mavericks vs. NuggetsNuggets won
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H MoneylineNuggets won
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 125.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: 1H O/U 126.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 244.5Over won
Mavericks vs. Nuggets: O/U 245.5Over won
Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5Yes won
Nikola Jokić: Rebounds O/U 12.5Yes won
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5Yes won
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Nuggets (-12.5)Mavericks won
Spread: Nuggets (-14.5)Mavericks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Nuggets (-13.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event