Mls · resolved market
Will New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa47d52b5819449a19eff3fcdb3e736158cf3c890972c8036942a8d3b9f1a0315
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,366 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 66c | 9,378$6,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.84 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 41c | 6,507$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667.7 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 27c | 1,396$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 1,248$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.8 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 982.32$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.31 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 920.06$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.11 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 31c | 844.55$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 36c | 724.93$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.1 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 26c | 689.58$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.29 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 76c | 524.03$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.03 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 63c | 311$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.07 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 26c | 305.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 27c | 277.78$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a6…7971backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 26c | 274$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff2…2e27backed Yes | 27c | 273$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.83 | 168 | 56%94 W · 74 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 226.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.84 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 25c | 212.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.08 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 191$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe519…2f48backed Yes | 11c | 190.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 32c | 179$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…534ebacked Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 76c | 154.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373d…8227backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 38c | 126.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4296…fca1backed Yes | 26c | 122.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 25c | 109.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.28 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 25c | 97.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 15c | 96.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 79c | 88.71$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d6…0a88backed Yes | 44c | 88.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…4795backed Yes | 27c | 75.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 63c | 74.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.48 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 79c | 72.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.57 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes | 28c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 55c | 48.3$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 41c | 46.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fc…38d5backed Yes | 24c | 45.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…abcbbacked No | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…7353backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 36.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked No | 63c | 32.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 134 | 64.9%87 W · 47 L | +17.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 79c | 27.46$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 70c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 77c | 17.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 75c | 13.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed No | 74c | 13.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 77c | 13.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will New York City FC vs. Inter Miami CF end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-22?Yes won
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.