TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$356,517

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,517 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Yes43c150,407$64,969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64,969.3415647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes44c129,321$56,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,901.49649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked No56c71,375$39,970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,404.9913053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No56c56,829$31,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,004.761668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No57c17,475$9,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,595.82181%17 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No56c15,002$8,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,538.5512451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No57c14,997$8,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,448.871050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No56c12,907$7,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,626.7197146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No57c11,473$6,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,933.413100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+99%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No57c10,441$6,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4383,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed No56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4002100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed No59c7,073$4,173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,899.73862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No57c6,850$3,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,945.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No64c6,425$4,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.7647748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed No57c6,182$3,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.18475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb18…6d4ebacked No60c5,020$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0081100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed No56c4,876$2,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,145.44862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No56c4,871$2,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,143.241060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed No69c4,327$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,326.881485.7%12 W · 2 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick56cpaid+50.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed No57c4,192$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.542650%13 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No32c3,718$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,528.26862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick36cpaid+91.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes68c3,486$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.4812667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes43c3,416$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.4525149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No57c3,337$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,446.923643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked No57c2,600$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+27.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes43c2,253$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.681963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked No73c1,670$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c1,513$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed No56c1,321$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.434459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed No64c988.18$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.1944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Yes32c804.35$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.9530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes28c784.13$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.2120535.1%72 W · 133 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No58c703.36$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.592846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd04…a64abacked No57c699.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.38666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Yes44c637$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.289652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes40c627.13$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.859151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked No57c526.32$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.32955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No67c476.51$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.0839567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes43c466.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes44c454.55$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Yes40c402$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.614438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No62c396.85$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.7719073.7%140 W · 50 L+18.6wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No65c383.83$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5321545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x66e2…41b6backed Yes37c373.02$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No65c360$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2654949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked No57c353.65$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c17…0458backed No56c339.16$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a2b…c97cbacked No57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…5544backed No56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1322552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed No58c293.67$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.043053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked No57c264.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.045850%29 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes37c256$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.782166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+20.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.246142.6%26 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes43c253$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7315144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No75c251.95$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.99580%4 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick77cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No59c244.06$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0713942.4%59 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No59c236.44$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No74c234$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.8427058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No33c222.98$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.394035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked No57c218$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.74683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+37.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes43c217.74$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.172850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62c0…06a0backed Yes27c203.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed No57c200$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No56c189.02$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.4937649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No56c178.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.647044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37fa…1136backed No56c176.59$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.73040%12 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443450%17 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443551.4%18 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed No57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes43c171.51$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.7570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes36c168.55$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.6848344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed No57c167.72$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.121090%9 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+79.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xeb6c…4c44backed No60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No59c162.12$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8942947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed Yes12c142.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.055547.3%26 W · 29 L+14.3wins+0.26per pick21cpaid+225.7%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes26c141.29$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7526346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5818…39e2backed No57c137$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce3a…2477backed No57c137$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.91771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5016…ada1backed No56c134$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.962450%12 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No77c130.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.48862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick72cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b77…1953backed Yes23c130.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No57c128.31$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7713950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed No56c128$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.321346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No79c126.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.84560%3 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick74cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3eff…ae12backed No56c125.44$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.994447.7%21 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xab9f…75f1backed Yes26c123.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.374445.5%20 W · 24 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed No56c122.39$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.854955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Yes40c122$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.83351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No69c115.61$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9429370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes43c111$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.734650%23 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes41c104.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2637138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453050%15 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.15per pick15cpaid+316.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Yes44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443333.3%11 W · 22 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5a54…4e11backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-34.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+57.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed No57c98.25$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x694c…eb70backed Yes45c95.56$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x866a…de80backed Yes27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252416.7%4 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.