South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c01eee0c3044533cf8a5b4c592e37e18fb4d24edcb01a506decf80933b3de7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,534 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2901…99f3backed Yes | 40c | 8,565$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,172.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 6,543$4,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,511.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 31c | 4,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,759.99 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ce…c264backed Yes | 38c | 2,382$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.68 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 46c | 2,186$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.52 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 68c | 1,597$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.02 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 25c | 1,483$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.61 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 61c | 1,426$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.01 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed No | 62c | 1,139$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.99 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 63c | 1,047$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.33 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Yes | 35c | 836.97$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.45 | 97 | 27.8%27 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 733.68$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.87 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 37c | 628.92$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.9 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 76c | 534.3$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.46 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 500$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 62c | 451.39$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.9 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 24c | 386.67$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.87 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 374.95$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74bb…1759backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Yes | 37c | 270$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 194 | 60.3%117 W · 77 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1e…fe89backed Yes | 22c | 241.64$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.27 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 59c | 175$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 59c | 175$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 63c | 150$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.75 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed No | 59c | 150$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked No | 62c | 140$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 62c | 125$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.5 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed No | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 59c | 120$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 135 | 57%77 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked No | 69c | 116.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed No | 62c | 116.07$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Yes | 27c | 115$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed No | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…df4abacked Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.99 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 33c | 87.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.28 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 61c | 82.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Yes | 38c | 79.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.08 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 64c | 77.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 24c | 76.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.23 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 79c | 65.08$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked No | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked No | 59c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 39c | 59.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 62c | 56.22$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed No | 59c | 55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Yes | 37c | 54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.02 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Yes | 39c | 51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 48.07$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 24c | 47.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Yes | 39c | 47.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 60c | 45.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 65c | 41.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 62c | 41.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…0901backed No | 64c | 38.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 72c | 38.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 53c | 33.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Yes | 40c | 33.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed No | 75c | 31.57$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 72c | 30.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Yes | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -41%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 61c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 60c | 22.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed No | 61c | 21.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e477backed No | 74c | 20.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 63c | 19.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 60c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 154 | 59.1%91 W · 63 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked No | 76c | 14.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-03-21?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-03-21?No won
- Will CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.