La Liga · resolved market
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc1cfbb5ba2ed9fa7bdded293b7ac5c282b3e6fa666f89991442ac3ad171e757
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,989
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,050
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,989 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 18c | 2,263$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.06 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 17c | 1,816$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.83 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7da3…5a49backed No | 72c | 1,290$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.74 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 13c | 1,224$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 1,009$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.11 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 4c | 897.44$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +481.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 891.67$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.58 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 29c | 779$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.16 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 18c | 515.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.16 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 487.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 1,419 | 45.6%647 W · 772 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 4c | 483.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 129 | 17.8%23 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca1…5dc1backed Yes | 29c | 457.41$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 409.59$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.36 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 30c | 381.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Yes | 5c | 365.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…2b05backed Yes | 11c | 270.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 97 | 21.6%21 W · 76 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 229.96$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.16 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…9160backed Yes | 28c | 206$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 189.88$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.69 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 80c | 186.96$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.03 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b77…1953backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…7e68backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0200…21f2backed Yes | 12c | 158.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 31c | 156.55$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.95 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 31c | 151.16$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 72c | 142$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.76 | 370 | 39.2%145 W · 225 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc219…0687backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 29c | 104.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 30.6%63 W · 143 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 90.88$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 71c | 90.8$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 87.56$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…4795backed Yes | 25c | 77.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 75.65$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…f636backed Yes | 28c | 72.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 283 | 42.8%121 W · 162 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa262…c8babacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2605…2b17backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 24c | 68.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 71c | 67.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.49 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 22c | 64.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddc…6863backed Yes | 25c | 63.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 71c | 63.33$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 29c | 62.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fd…6578backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -14.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed No | 71c | 57.73$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 29c | 55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -6.8wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 240 | 52.9%127 W · 113 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed Yes | 31c | 43.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Yes | 31c | 43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 70c | 40.74$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…5b98backed Yes | 29c | 38.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…0947backed Yes | 30c | 33.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed No | 73c | 26.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +14.7wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked No | 73c | 18.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…ffd4backed No | 71c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-29?this page
- Will SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?No won
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.