La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb45512e15fba326df9abeb547a1f1a5b506273a2da88f2b90b4bdbf7bd040e82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 68c | 1,938$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.16 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe35b…d8d0backed Yes | 22c | 1,516$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.61 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,429$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.28 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 8c | 1,238$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…100fbacked No | 68c | 706.01$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 8c | 522.49$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Yes | 12c | 517.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…f812backed Yes | 11c | 451.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 5c | 447.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…cea5backed Yes | 31c | 437.44$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe500…4b37backed Yes | 35c | 376.62$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 337.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 32c | 249.63$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.33 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 32c | 228.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.78 | 836 | 50.7%424 W · 412 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…618abacked Yes | 34c | 220.59$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 32c | 187.82$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 697 | 50.8%354 W · 343 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb502…145cbacked No | 69c | 176.81$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.81 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5595…12a8backed Yes | 32c | 169.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.12 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 32c | 151$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.32 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 12c | 129$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 30c | 129$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 69c | 109$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 29 | 79.3%23 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 66cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…4a6dbacked No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 33c | 79.17$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.05 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529c…4795backed Yes | 25c | 78.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 68c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 31c | 68.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bce…c696backed Yes | 25c | 65.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 32c | 64.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 67c | 60.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.05 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 25c | 60.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…638cbacked Yes | 24c | 56.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Yes | 32c | 54.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 32c | 48.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 48.4$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 42.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4988…d21cbacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd454…b47fbacked Yes | 33c | 31.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0772…b4eabacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…f999backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4658backed No | 66c | 22.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 68c | 22.05$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 69c | 20.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 616 | 57.8%356 W · 260 L | +42.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 74c | 20.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 67c | 16.39$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 76c | 13.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Eibar vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw?this page
- Will SD Eibar win on 2026-03-29?Yes won
- Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-03-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.