Bundesliga · resolved market
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2065cb9de28aa1b73d95087b0d96d54c8f8aad54140c185e37ca201b516d1580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,070 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,279.97 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 63c | 3,363$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,246.58 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,293$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.95 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 44c | 1,200$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 43c | 1,170$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.77 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 29c | 1,139$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.19 | 536 | 45.9%246 W · 290 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 25c | 507.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.54 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 71c | 429.73$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.42 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 73c | 372.35$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.19 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked No | 30c | 342.67$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.76 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 26c | 297$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 74c | 286.52$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.17 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 26c | 286.25$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.33 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 43c | 275.28$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.04 | 569 | 51.8%295 W · 274 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 55c | 199.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b3…7650backed No | 57c | 175.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 56c | 135.96$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 186 | 44.1%82 W · 104 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed No | 8c | 130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 23c | 127.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 57c | 125$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 300 | 54%162 W · 138 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed No | 15c | 89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked No | 56c | 88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 70c | 86.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 43c | 82.86$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…b4cebacked Yes | 80c | 79.4$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 29c | 76.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a6…44edbacked No | 57c | 73.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 39c | 68.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 762 | 34.8%265 W · 497 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 23c | 56.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…d26bbacked Yes | 73c | 53.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f23…6d15backed Yes | 43c | 47.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 56c | 39.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 205 | 48.3%99 W · 106 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 43c | 37.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 121 | 57.9%70 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4c…a32ebacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed No | 45c | 28.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 57c | 28.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Yes | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 60c | 21.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 306 | 47.1%144 W · 162 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x394b…4f55backed Yes | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d90…3bbdbacked No | 57c | 20.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will SC Preußen Münster vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.